| 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，内容请直接查看目录。） 跟着全球经济的赓续深化成长，家当内商业的成长也日趋迅猛，特别是在蓬勃国度地域之间，已逐步代替家当间商业，成为国际间商业的重要情势。今朝，国际外学者对家当内商业的研究，重要集中在蓬勃国度之间或是成长中国度与蓬勃国度之间，而对经济成长程度雷同的成长中国度之间的家当内商业研究还较少。中国与俄罗斯互为邻国，又同属于成长中的世界年夜国和金砖国度，成长中俄经贸关系的主要性不问可知。固然跟着中俄政治互信水平赓续增强，双边商业出现安稳增加态势，但中俄商业额占中国对外商业总额的比重一向保持在2%阁下的程度，双边商业额占全球商业总额的比重还不到0.5%，是以中俄商业仍有很年夜的成长空间，推进中俄由互补型的家当间商业向家当内商业成长对两国经贸关系的历久稳固成长具有主要意义。本文重要以家当内商业实际和模子为基本，采取定量和定性相联合的剖析办法，运用1992-2017年的商业统计数据，对中俄双边商业概略及家当内商业程度停止剖析测度并得出结论。经由过程对中俄进出口商业数据的剖析得出结论：中俄双边商业成长具有阶段性，且中方历久以来处于商业逆差，近几年才涌现商业顺差；中方重要向俄罗斯出口原油、木材等基本资本性商品，而重要向俄罗斯出口轻工业成品、机械及运输装备等；同时两国的进出口商品构造已出现出进级的趋向，双边商业正逐步转变曩昔以日用品、原资料为主的格式。经由过程家当内商业指数（G-L指数）、Greenway&Milner提出的程度型家当内商业和垂直型家当内商业器量办法和商业竞争力指数对中俄家当内商业的全体程度、产物特点、商业构造、商业竞争力分离停止测度，剖析得出：2000-2017年中俄家当内商业成长比拟稳固，分离在2003年和2017年到达家当内商业程度的两个峰值，但整体程度较低；中俄工业制制品的家当内指数比低级产物的家当内商业指数偏高，且十三年间一向出现高低动摇的趋向；中俄家当内商业重要产生在SITC0类、5类、6类三类产物中，且在家当内商业中所占比重较年夜的工业制制品重要是以垂直型家当内商业为主；低级产物中家当内商业指数绝对较高的SITC0类产物商业竞争力在赓续晋升，俄语论文范文，并逐步由垂直型家当内商业向程度型家当内商业改变，同时俄方基本资本产物照样具有较年夜的商业竞争力，家当内商业程度极低；在工业制制品的垂直型家当内商业中，中方较俄罗斯占领比拟优势且商业竞争力赓续加强，并在必定时代内这类优势会一向存在。在掌握中俄家当内商业现状的基本上，本文立异性地对中俄家当内商业的作用身分做了实证剖析，即树立计量经济学模子，采取2000-2017年的时光序列数据来考核拔取的四个说明变量对中国与俄罗斯家当内商业的作用水平，回归成果注解：中俄市场范围的均匀程度和俄罗斯对华直接投资与中俄家当内商业的成长呈正相干关系，而中俄人均支出程度差距和范围经济与中俄家当内商业的成长呈负相干关系。最初，从当局和公司两个层面提出了进步中俄双边家当内商业成长程度的对策建议。 Abstract: Along with the global economy continuously deepening, belongings in the business to grow more rapidly, especially between the flourishing countries in the region, has been gradually replaced by worldly business, become important forms of international business. Current, domestic and international scholars of belongings in commercial research important concentrated in the flourishing nation or growth between China and the developed countries, on economic growth degrees are the same growth between China's belongings commercial research is less. Chinese Russia and neighboring each other, and belong to the growth of the world big country and the BRICs, the growth of Sino Russian economic and trade relations is self-evident. Although follow the mutual political trust between China and Russia level continuously enhanced bilateral commercial appeared stable increase trend, but the volume of trade between China and Russia accounted for the proportion of China's total foreign trade has always been to maintain in 2% of your degree, the bilateral trade volume accounted for the proportion of the total global business is less than 0.5%, with Russia and China business still has very big development space, to promote the Sino Russian by complementary type furniture business to worldly business growth of economic and trade relations between the two countries long-term stable growth has important significance. In this paper, an important to belongings in real business and mold, take quantitative and qualitative phase joint analysis method, application from the years of business statistics data, commercial degree of Sino Russian bilateral trade and belongings stop measure analysis and draw a conclusion. Through the process of Sino Russian import and export trade data analysis concluded: Sino Russian bilateral trade growth stage, and since China is long-term in the trade deficit, in recent years until the emergence of trade surplus; China is important to the Russian exports of crude oil, timber and other basic capital goods, and important to Russia to export light industrial manufactured goods, machinery and transport equipment; at the same time China Import and export commodity structure has presented the trend into the class, bilateral trade is gradually changing the past to daily necessities, raw materials based format. Through the process of business index (G-L index), in the family business and the vertical extent of Greenway&Milner is put forward in his belongings in the business and business competitiveness index to measure the degree of family business between China and Russia, product features, business structure, business competitiveness analysis: stop separation measure, 2000-2017 years of Sino Russian business growth is relatively stable in the house the separation, reached the two peak in the house business degree in 2003 and 2017, but the overall level is low; the Sino Russian industrial products within the property index than low product in commercial property index is high, and the thirteen years trend level has always been shaken; Sino Russian business important in the SITC0 property class 5, 6 three kinds of products, industrial products and accounts for a larger proportion in commercial property is important to the vertical property in the business . lower product in worldly business index absolute SITC0 higher class product of commercial competition in ceaseless promotion, and gradually by vertical type furniture business to the extent of belongings in commercial change, also the basic products of the Russian capital still have is big business competitiveness, when commercial degree is very low; in the vertical belongings by manufactured products in the business, China is Russia occupied comparative advantage and business competitiveness continuously strengthened, and in a certain times of the advantages of this kind will always exist. In the mastery of Sino Russian possessions in the commercial situation basically, this paper made specific to the influencing factor of the Sino Russian possessions in the commercial do the empirical analysis, that is, to establish econometric model, take 2000-2017 time series data to assess the adoption of four that variables of China and Russia belongings in business level, the regression result of annotations: Sino Russian market range of uniform degree and the Russian direct investment in China and Sino Russian possessions in the commercial growth was positive coherence, and Russia of per capita income gap and scope economy and the Sino - Russian possessions in the commercial growth was negative correlation. Initially, the countermeasures and suggestions of bilateral business growth in progress have put forward from the two degree administration and enterprise level. 目录: |
