“中等收入陷阱”:俄罗斯的挑战与应对[俄语论文]

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2000年至2017年,俄罗斯经济成长敏捷,GDP增加率均匀为7%,人均GDP由2000年的1775美元上升到2017年的11700美元,成为世界十年夜经济体之一。然则自2017年金融危机以后,俄罗斯经济增加速度放缓,2017、2017年GDP增加率为4。3%,低于新兴经济体的均匀值,而且预期不会改良。俄罗斯经济构造歪曲,严重依附资本型行业。同时国有制成份极高,难以战胜技巧立异瓶颈,面对增加转型窘境。除经济方面,俄罗斯社会、政治方面也弗成防止地涌现了新的成绩。社会方面:2017年,俄罗斯的基尼系数为0。421,跨越支出分派差距的“警惕线”0。4。政治方面:国民的根本生计成绩处理,会发生更多的平易近主诉求。跟着中产阶层的鼓起,这类呼声会愈来愈高。俄罗斯经济、社会、政治方面涌现了欠好的迹象,曾经进入落入“中等支出圈套”的风险期。为应对中等支出圈套”,俄罗斯当局积极制订弥补性增加政策、立异型增加政策、停止平易近主轨制扶植,俄语毕业论文,以保持经济增加与社会稳固的良性轮回。弥补性政策的实行固然没有使贫富分化获得终究处理(基尼系数没有显著改良),然则人均支出年夜幅上升,使平易近众分享了经济增加的结果。立异型增加政策的实行到今朝为止并没有显著后果,平易近主轨制扶植方面则有发展偏向。2017年5月7日,普京正式开端了他的第三任期。为应对挑衅,率领俄罗斯逾越“中等支出圈套”,普京勾画出了一个雄伟议程。因为转型难度较年夜,俄罗斯逾越圈套仍需一系列的前提。本文彩用年夜野健一修改后的精英治国形式,运用跨学科剖析办法,对俄罗斯“中等支出圈套”成绩停止研究。文章分为六个部门:起首是绪论,重要论述本文选题配景与意义,研究目的和办法,和国际外对于“中等支出圈套”的相干研究。第一章解释“中等支出圈套”的剖析框架,重点提醒“中等支出圈套”的涵义、落入缘由,和逾越的前提。第二章重要解释俄罗斯在社会、政治、经济方面曾经涌现了欠好的迹象,有落入“中等支出圈套”的风险。第三章则对俄罗斯为应对“中等支出圈套”所采用的政策停止剖析,俄语论文题目,重点提醒政策后果。第四章借助以上剖析,而且依据普京的竞选纲要和采用的政策,重点剖析俄罗斯面对的挑衅。最初为结语部门,论述俄罗斯逾越“中等支出圈套”的前提。

Abstract:

From 2000 to 2017, Russia's rapid economic growth, GDP growth rate of 7%, per capita GDP from $1775 in 2000 rose to $11700 in 2017, becoming one of the world's ten largest economy. However, since the 2017 financial crisis, Russia's economic growth rate slowed, 2017, 2017 GDP increase rate of 4. 3%, lower than the average value of emerging economies, and is not expected to improve. Russia's economic structure is distorted, heavily dependent on capital type industry. At the same time, the state-owned composition is extremely high, difficult to overcome the bottleneck of innovation skills, in the face of increasing transformation dilemma. In addition to the economic aspect, Russia's social and political aspects also put into place to prevent the emergence of new achievements. Social aspects: in 2017, the Gini coefficient of Russia was 0. 421, across the expenditure distribution gap of the alert line 0. 4. Political aspects: the basic livelihood of the people to deal with the problem, there will be more democratic aspirations. With the rise of the middle class, this kind of voice will be more and more high. Russia's economic, social and political aspects of the emergence of a good sign, has entered into the middle of the trap of the risk period. In response to the "medium spending trap", the Russian authorities to actively develop make up for the increase in policy, the policy of special shaped increase, to stop the construction of the main rail system in order to maintain economic growth and social stability of a virtuous circle. Make up the implementation of the policy is not to make the rich and poor differentiation was eventually processed (Gini coefficient is not significantly improved), but the average per capita spending rose, so that the people share the results of economic growth. The implementation of the policy to increase the implementation of the policy so far has no significant consequences, the construction of the main rail system has a development bias. May 7, 2017, Putin officially began his third term. In response to provocation, led Russia to cross the middle-income trap, Putin sketched out a grand agenda. Because the transition is more difficult, the Russian Passover trap still need a series of premise. In this paper, the use of the eve of the No Kenichi modified elite form of governance, the use of interdisciplinary analysis of the Russian "medium - spending trap" to stop the study. The article is divided into six departments: the first is the introduction, it is important to discuss the background and significance of this topic, the purpose and methods of research, and international and foreign on the "medium expenditure trap" of the relevant research. The first chapter explains the analysis framework of "medium expenditure trap", which focuses on the meaning of "medium expenditure trap", the reason of the fall, and the premise of the Passover. The second chapter explains the importance of Russia in the social, political and economic aspects of the emergence of a good sign, there are falling into the "middle-income trap" of the risk. The third chapter carries on the analysis to Russia to deal with the "middle-income trap" the policy, the key to remind policy consequences. The fourth chapter with the help of the above analysis, and based on the Putin's campaign outline and the use of policy, focusing on the analysis of Russia's provocation. Initially for the conclusion of the Department, discussed Russia to cross the middle-income trap premise.

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