| 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，内容请直接查看目录。） 从2000年到2017年的7年时光里，中俄商业固然一波三折，但整体上照样呈上升趋向。但是从中俄两国的各自特色来看，中俄商业程度与中俄计谋协作同伴关系不相顺应，绝关于两国政治关系的成长表示出显著的滞后性，同时，也不相符两国的商业潜力和经济范围。针对这类情形，本文起首回想了中俄商业成长的过程，然后依据成长现状总结了中俄商业成长的特色和存在的成绩。文章以这些成绩为基本，采取2017年数据为样本，运用商业引力模子分离回归出我国对俄罗斯全国和俄罗斯器械部的出口模子，寻觅决议中俄商业的作用身分并盘算剖析中国对俄罗斯全国及其器械部的出口状况。由回归方程得出结论(1)中国对俄商业的条理较低；(2)在以家当间商业为主的低条理商业措施下，中国对俄罗斯出口趋于饱和状况。中俄现有商业情势的内生增加机制缺乏，使两国潜伏的经济互补性没法改变为实际的商业增加；(3)对俄东部地域的出口潜力年夜于对俄西部的出口潜力；(4)中俄商业须要内部身分的激活，树立区域经济协作组织可以增进我国同俄罗斯商业的增加。文章最初依据回归成果提出了响应的政策建议(1)之外部手腕来安慰中俄商业的成长，把两国潜伏的互补性转化为实际的商业流量，俄语论文范文，使中俄商业在全体经济关系推动的进程中完成条理进级和范围扩大；(2)同俄罗斯的商业增加在区位选择上应把重点放在对俄东部出口的增加；(3)可斟酌在中国西南和俄罗斯东部地域树立自在商业区，俄语论文网站，运用区域经济一体化的优势增进我国同俄罗斯的商业成长；(4)尽力进步我国出口商品的商业条理，赓续增长对俄出口商品的附加值，从基本上改变中俄商业增加措施；(5)要把重点从纯真的产物互补转移到要素互补下去，如科技协作、劳务协作等等。 Abstract: From 2000 to 2017 7 years, Sino Russian trade is still striking one snag after another but on the whole, the upward trend. But from the point of view of the individual characteristic of China and Russia, Sino Russian business degree and the Sino Russian strategic partnership does not adapt, absolutely to the growth of the political relations between the two countries expressed obvious hysteresis. At the same time, it is not consistent with the bilateral commercial potential and economies of scope. In view of this kind of situation, this article first recalled the Chinese and Russian commercial growth process, and then based on the growth present situation has summarized the Chinese and Russian commercial growth characteristic and the existence result. Article with these results, take 2017 as samples, the commercial application of gravity model separation regression in China across Russia and Russian equipment department export model, looking for the resolution of the Sino Russian trade influencing factor and calculation and analysis of China to export status of the Russian national and appliance of. By regression equation obtained conclusions (1) the Chinese Russian commercial organized lower; (2) in worldly business oriented low structured business methods, China exports to Russia tends to saturated condition. Existing business situation of Sino Russian students increased lack of mechanism, so as to make their latent economic complementarity can not be changed in order to increase the number of actual business; (3) in the eastern regions of Russia export potential big in the export potential of western Russia; (4) the Sino Russian business need activation of internal factors, set up regional economic cooperation organization can enhance China's increased with Russian business. Finally, according to regression results put forward the policy recommendations of response (1) outside the wrist to comfort the Sino Russian commercial growth, the two complementary potential into actual business flow, so that the Sino Russian business promotion in all economic relations in the process of completion organized into the class and expanding; (2) business with Russia the increase in the location choice should be to increase focus on exports to Russia in the East; (3) could be considered to establish free trade area in the southwest and Chinese eastern region of Russia, application of regional economic integration advantage China Russia business growth; (4) to improve China's export commodity trade order, increase ceaselessly the added value of export commodities to Russia, from basically change the Sino Russian commercial increase method; (5) to focus from the pure products complementary transfer to the complementary factors of it, such as science and technology cooperation, labor service co Do so. 目录: 摘要 5-6 Abstract 6-7 第一章 绪论 10-17 1.1 选题背景和意义 10-11 1.2 主要内容、结构安排和创新点 11-12 1.2.1 主要内容和结构安排 11 1.2.2 创新点 11-12 1.3 对于中俄贸易的国内外探讨近况 12-17 1.3.1 国外探讨近况 12-13 1.3.2 国内探讨近况 13-16 1.3.3 探讨近况存在的不足 16-17 第二章 中俄双边贸易发展概况 17-23 2.1 中俄贸易发展历程 17-19 2.2 中俄贸易发展特点 19-23 第三章 引力模型理论概述 23-29 3.1 引力模型介绍 23-26 3.2 引力模型中的解释变量略论 26-27 3.3 引力模型于本文的适用性说明 27-29 第四章 中俄贸易的实证略论 29-35 4.1 引力模型的构建说明 29 4.2 解释变量说明及选取 29-30 4.3 样本数据来源及说明 30-31 4.4 模型形式及符号说明 31 4.5 实证检验及结果 31-35 第五章 模型回归过程与结果略论及政策建议 35-46 5.1 模型回归过程与结果略论 35-37 5.1.1 模型回归过程与结果的含义 35 5.1.2 模型回归过程与结果的解释 35-37 5.2 政策建议 37-46 5.2.1 拓展对俄贸易的总体思路 37-41 5.2.2 拓展对俄贸易的具体建议 41-46 第六章 结论 46-47 参考文献 47-49 在学探讨成果 49-50 致谢 50 |
