论俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机的政策[俄语论文]

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“阿拉伯骚乱”赓续劲吹,它曾经颠覆了北非和中东地域很多政权,好比也门的萨利赫,埃及的穆巴拉克,利比亚的卡扎菲和突尼斯的本阿里。从2017年3月起,这股潮水舒展到了叙利亚,招致了年夜范围请愿游行和暴力运动。国际和地域权势及各类非国度组织敏捷参与叙利亚危机,试图到达有益于己的计谋目标,而他们的一个配合仇敌就是巴沙尔政权。谁人时刻,每一个人都以为巴沙尔政权将很快倒下,阿萨德家族将被审讯。然则两年时光曩昔了,我们所看到的是巴沙尔政权依然矗立不倒。究其缘由,除叙利亚国际庞杂的平易近族、宗教成份,各方心胸鬼胎难以构成协力外,俄语毕业论文俄罗斯、伊朗等国对叙当局的年夜力支撑就成为维系巴沙尔政权生计的主要支柱。俄罗斯和叙利亚有着悠长的友爱关系。在危机产生之前,俄罗斯是叙利亚在国际社会最年夜的支撑者,两国在许多国际和地域成绩长进行了很好的协作。正因如斯,俄罗斯很不肯意看到叙利亚滑向乱局。从一开端,俄语论文网站,俄罗斯就主意:改造,对话,停滞暴力。随后,俄罗斯顶住压力谢绝了东方和地域权势请求阿萨德上台,政权变革和在结合国受权下停止内部干涉的呼吁。恰是因为俄罗斯果断的立场,巴沙尔政权才得以存活至今。本篇论文将对俄罗斯应对叙利亚危机的政策停止深刻剖析。论文的第一部门将评论辩论俄罗斯高度存眷叙利亚危机的缘由;接上去将具体论述俄罗斯应对叙利亚危机的详细政策;第三部门将总结这些政策所反应出来的俄罗斯交际的特色;最初一部门将评析这些政策的成效。

Abstract:

"The Arab unrest" blowing ceaselessly, it had to subvert the region of North Africa and the Middle East political powers, like Mr Saleh, Yemen, Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, Gaddafi in Libya and Tunisia Ben Ali. From March 2017, the tide has spread to Syria, which has led to a large range of petitions and violence. International and regional power and various types of non national organizations to participate in the crisis in Syria, trying to reach the strategic goals of their own, and one of their enemies is the Bashar regime. Who at the moment, everyone thought that the Bashar regime will soon fall, the Assad family will be questioned. But two years past, we have seen the Bashar regime is still standing. The reason, in Syria the complex plain near family, religious component, the parties to mind her gizzard is difficult to form the cooperation outside, to Russia, Iran and other nations against the Syrian authorities of support become to maintain the main pillar of the regime of Bashar al Assad livelihoods. Russia and Syria have a long and friendly relationship. Before the crisis, Russia was the largest supporter of Syria in the international community, the two countries in many international and regional achievement has carried out a very good cooperation. Because of this, Russia is not willing to see Syria into chaos. From the beginning, Russia had an idea: to transform, to talk, to halt the violence. Subsequently, Russia resisted pressure declined East and regional power request Assad came to power, the regime change, in combination with the country authorized to interfere in the internal calls to stop. Precisely because of the decisive position of Russia, the Bashar regime has been able to survive so far. This paper will have a profound analysis of the policy of Russia's response to the crisis in Syria. The first part of the paper will discuss the reasons for the Syria crisis, which will be discussed in detail. The detailed policies to deal with the crisis of Syria will be discussed in detail. The third part will summarize the characteristics of Russian communication which the policy has responded to. The first part will comment on the effectiveness of these policies.

目录:

摘要   3-4   Abstract   4   前言   8-13   一、俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机的动因   13-28       (一)战略动因   13-21           1、自身传统势力范围屡屡陷落   13-15           2、大国尊严频遭践踏   15-19           3、俄美反导博弈持续不断   19-21       (二)战术动因   21-28           1、叙利亚是俄罗斯在中东重要的地缘政治杠杆   21-24           2、叙利亚危机外溢干扰俄罗斯国内稳定   24-26           3、叙利亚是俄罗斯重要的商业市场   26-28   二、俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机的具体政策   28-39       (一)政治上力推改革和对话   28-31           1、施压叙当局督促推进改革   28-30           2、接触反对派呼吁参与对话   30-31       (二)军事上强化对叙政府支持   31-33           1、坚持履行武器合同   31-32           2、强化在叙军事存在   32-33       (三)外交上推动多边斡旋反对制裁和干预   33-39           1、支持联合国和阿盟的斡旋努力   33-35           2、反对西方及阿盟的单边制裁和武力干预   35-38           3、反对西方和地区国家武装反对派   38-39   三、俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机的政策特点   39-57       (一)努力占据道德和法学高地   39-43           1、积极打造公平正义的调解者角色   39-40           2、努力塑造捍卫国际法准则的坚定形象   40-42           3、坚持树立国际多边机制拥护者形象   42-43       (二)积极务实注重平衡   43-50           1、积极—以灵活、积极的姿态参与到叙利亚危机的解决中来   44-46           2、务实—从自身实力出发尽可能避免对抗和利益损失   46-48           3、平衡—保持与冲突各方及其支持力量的平衡留足回旋余地   48-50       (三)俄罗斯国内的战略性企业对外交政策作用突出   50-57           1、拓展战略性企业海外利益是对外政策的优先课题之一   51-53           2、“普京团队”已经成为战略性企业的海外利益代理人   53-54           3、对外政策目标取向深受国内战略性企业利益作用   54-57   四、俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机的阶段性成果   57-73       (一)俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机取得的积极成果   57-64           1、有利于巴沙尔政权的继续生存   57-59           2、维护国际法的尊严和联合国的机制   59-60           3、彰显俄罗斯自身在世界体系中的“稳定器”影响   60-64       (二)俄罗斯介入叙利亚危机引发的问题   64-73           1、与西方在叙利亚问题上陷入严重争执   64-69           2、与部分地区国家的关系复杂化   69-73   结语   73-74   附录一   74-75   附录二   75-76   注释   76-86   参考文献   86-93   论文清单   93-94   致谢   94  

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