自然资源禀赋与俄罗斯经济增长[俄语论文]

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本文重要研究充盈的天然资本对俄罗斯经济增加的作用。本文针对转轨国度的特色,提出用来说明天然资本与经济增加关系的实际剖析框架与模子,偏重点剖析俄罗斯天然天赋与经济增加之间的关系,探访天然资本对俄罗斯经济增加发生的作用、感化机制和轨制在个中所起的主要感化。论文的重要不雅点是(1)本文模子注解,天然资本天赋会对经济发生很年夜作用,但这类作用有多种能够,轨制和政策是症结身分。优越的轨制和准确的经济政策可以或许防止资本咒骂,相反低质量的轨制和毛病的微观政策会使本国堕入资本咒骂当中。特殊是对转轨经济体来讲,在轨制重建进程中,新旧体系体例的堆叠、脱节和抵触会发生各类“空档”和“裂缝”,再加上充盈的资本所发生的丰富的经济收益减缓了改造的压力,下降了改造的急切性,作用改造和经济成长的速度,同时也发生支出的不屈等、社会重要与各类寻租腐烂行动。这类不健全的轨制使得充盈的天然资本对转轨经济体的经济成长发生负面作用,轻易构成资本咒骂景象;(2)俄罗斯资本依附型经济特点日趋显著,这类经济构造使俄罗斯经济增加极易遭到国际市场石油价钱的冲击,而且显示出“荷兰病”的征象;(3)在对俄罗斯天然资本感化机制停止深刻剖析的基本上,本文发明因为遭到充盈的天然资本的作用,俄罗斯在经济转轨进程中,轨制扶植存在许多不完美和不调和的处所,如滞后的机构改造、寻租和腐烂、支出和财富分派不屈等等。当低质量的轨制成长途径构成和确立后,将具有必定的稳固性和耐久性,而恰是这类弱化的轨制扶植使俄罗斯堕入资本咒骂当中;(4)自创俄罗斯解脱资本咒骂所采用的政策办法,并联合我国资本充盈的中西部地域现实特色,提出应当树立地域资本成长稳固基金,俄语论文,调剂家当构造,俄语论文题目,成长立异型经济,优化产权轨制支配等政策建议;(5)本文以为固然俄罗斯积极采用各类办法死力愿望解脱对天然资本的依附,但这是一项历久的义务,短时间内依然没法解脱倚重动力的经济构造。是以动力协作仍然是中俄两国协作的主要内容。因为尽力改良经济构造,成长立异经济和高新技巧家当是俄罗斯的重要计谋方针,中俄协作的成长偏向也必定从传统的天然资本等商品商业转向高新技巧家当协作。

Abstract:

This paper is mainly to study the influence of natural capital on filling the Russian economy increase. In this paper, the characteristics of for the transition countries, put forward to illustrate the natural capital and economic increase theory analysis framework and model, and focuses on the analysis of the relationship between Russian natural talent and economic growth, visit natural capital increase the influence of the Russian economy, action mechanisms and the rail system in the medium plays the important role. The indecent point is (1) the model annotations, natural talent capital will produce very big effect to the economic, but this kind of influence is different, the rail system and policy is the crux of the identity. Superior rail system and accurate economic policy can perhaps prevent capital curse. On the contrary, low quality of the rail system and problems of micro policy will make their falling capital curse them. Especially in terms of transition economies and on orbit of the reconstruction process, the style of the old system of stacked, disjointed and conflict will occur all kinds of "neutral" and "crack", coupled with the capital on filling the rich economic benefits slowed the transformation pressure, decreased the transformation of the urgency, affect the transformation of economic growth speed, the expenditure of unyielding, society and all kinds of Rent-seeking Action on rotting. This kind of imperfect system makes the filling natural capital to have a negative impact on economic growth in transition economies, easily constitute capital curse scene; (2) the Russian capital dependent economy characteristics has become increasingly significant, the economic structure of the Russian economy vulnerable to increase international market oil price shocks, but also show "the issue of" signs; (3) in the Russian capital natural mechanism basically stop deep analysis, this paper present due to the influence of natural filling capital in Russia, in the process of economic transition, system construction is not perfect and there are many incompatible premises, such as institutional transformation, lag and decay, rent-seeking expenditure and the distribution of wealth and unyielding. When a system developing way of low quality and established, will have certain stability and durability, and it is the weakening of the system construction in the Russian capital curse; (4) from the Russian capital curse relief policy, central and western regions and characteristics of China's capital reality combined filling the proposed should establish regional capital stable fund growth, adjust the industrial structure, the growth of innovative economy, optimize the system of property rights control policies; (5) this paper think that although Russia actively adopt all kinds of measures to desire dependence on natural capital, but this is a long-term obligation, the economic structure within a short period of time is still don't rely on the power. Is a dynamic collaboration is still the main content of the Sino Russian cooperation. Because in its efforts to improve the economic structure, growth innovation economy and high-tech belongings is an important strategy policy of Russia, the growth of Sino Russian cooperation bias must from the traditional natural capital goods business to high skill belongings collaboration.

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