China. The world's biggest beverage Apple Juice diluted juice, and the main supply of export country (Fred Gale, USDA. 2017) 1, and fruit juice export business of transformed China's rich fruit capital, an increase of expenditure of farmers, enhance the fruit of belongings to expand has main effect. In 2017 Chinese fruit juice export destination country row before separation five in the United States, Japan, Russia, Holland, germany. Is special because of Sino Russian capital talent difference, geopolitical situation complementarity, Russia became the driving China's exports of fruit juice, emerging growth markets. But over the past 10 years, the Chinese fruit juice exports to the Russian market also experience the three shake era, namely to slow growth period (2001 and 2004), fast rise period (2017 to 2017), the ups and downs wrestle for the period (2017 - 2017) 2. On the other hand, with Russian President Vladimir Putin signed on to Russia to participate in the WTO protocol of the federal law, Russia became a member of the WTO. Born must conform to the WTO promise of agricultural product export tariff means Chinese fruit juice exports Russia market is faced with tariff barriers will cut and with doubling the predictability of 3, but non tariff barriers to increased 4. Apple juice does not belong to the staple agricultural products, Chinese apple juice export demand from apple juice price, export policy, exchange rate, trade barriers, diet culture, preferences and other factors, demand is steady is not high (he Lei, 2017). Secondly, the devaluation of the national currency, the rest of the wage fell and the two cities of our agricultural product export demand form adverse effect (Yao Zhizhong, 2017). But apple juice belongings expansion force export enterprises seeking international demand to compensate for market. That is the export market, especially as Russian such emerging, growth markets, thus contributing to the price of the apple juice keep in a higher degree. Based on the above background, based on Perspective of historical change, this paper profits from the domestic and foreign coherent on the basis of research results, in accordance with the standard analysis and empirical analysis combined the research ideas, then use statistics department in China commercial database, International Monetary Fund and other database phase data. In 2001 and 2017 Russian apple juice export analysis, identify the Russian apple juice important country of origin and its market share. Application of export demand model exploration in recent 10 years China status to promote Apple Juice exports to Russia increased demand. The application of the constant market share model (CMS model), the evaluation Chinese Apple Juice exports to the Russian market competitiveness. Wish this to the authorities for some exports to Russia to promote policies and Apple Juice export enterprises understand the supply of Russian market demand must Apple Juice sponsorship. On the other hand, exports at the present stage of Apple Juice a market research literature is less, a lot of research is focused on the market booming economy, absolutely less explore the market the rapid growth of economy. In this paper, the market growth Apple Juice this example of Russia as the representative, can promote the desire of income related conclusions of related research tasks of growth Apple Juice export market for fast. The invention in Russia Apple Juice export analysis, from 2001 to 2017 the export volume of about the increasing trend until 2017 to reach the highest point. In 2017, because of the impact of the financial crisis, the world Apple Juice reduced export demand, Russian exports also dropped Apple Juice emerging trend. But from 2017 onwards, the export volume and amount are beginning to rise quickly. In Russian exports an important country of origin identification, the color with the market share to identify Russia apple juice export market of the country of origin, annotation results from 2001 to 2017 Russian apple juice exports are important in the country of origin of the spread is relatively stable, from the point of view of the global market, China, Ukraine, Moldova, Uzbekistan, Iran is undoubtedly an important export market for Russian apple juice intervention in the country. From the perspective of the five international department, China's exports to Russia apple juice market share both from the increased speed still total are distant preemptive, Ukraine and other countries uniform occupation rate are close to 6. 00%. In Chinese apple juice exports to the Russian market demand analysis, this paper profits from the domestic and foreign application export demand estimate equation analysis of export demand influencing factor basically, combined Chinese apple juice exports to the Russian market realities, export demand equations for the descendants of stop improvement and growth, groping 2001 to 2017 years in advance of Chinese apple juice export demand in Russia increased status. Introducing Chinese apple juice export price in Russia and Ukraine apple juice export price in Russia, Russia since Brazil orange juice exports price, Russia's gross domestic product, exchange rate, dummy variable tariff six variables, and explore different variables on the export of apple juice impact levels. Results annotations, Russia since the two variables of Brazilian exports of orange juice price and Russia the birth of GDP through the process of tempering, separation of the elasticity of demand 1. 835 and 0. 566. Other variables through the process of training, not sure whether there are other effects on the dependent variable. In the analysis of China Apple Juice Russian exports competitiveness, using constant market share model (CMS model), the evaluation Chinese Apple Juice exports to the Russian market competitiveness. From the demand, structure and competitiveness of three kinds of separation effect 2001 2017 Chinese impact assessment Apple Juice exports to the Russian market shake the status and influence of the level and change trend. Results of notes, status China resolution Apple Juice export competitiveness has a stage, structure effect, competitive effect and positive impact on the Chinese Apple Juice export has been a significant change. 目录: |
