俄罗斯经济增长中的自然资源效应[俄语论文]

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经济增加是一个庞杂的进程。天然资本,特殊是弗成再生资本,对经济增加有侧重要的意义。然则资本不老是“福音”,它会经由过程各类渠道对经济增加发生妨碍感化。俄罗斯在地舆上横跨欧亚两年夜洲,是世界上疆土最年夜的国度。辽阔的领土面积、多极的地舆地位和特别的地质构造,使其领土储藏了得天独厚的天然资本,特别是矿产资本。转轨以后的俄罗斯已经历了历久的经济阑珊过程,但是自1999年开端俄罗斯一反阑珊颓势,俄语论文范文,经济开端表示疾速增加的成长态势。1999—2017年俄罗斯GDP年均增加6。98%。那末,天然资本在俄罗斯这十年的经济增加进程中饰演了甚么样的脚色?俄罗斯地域层面能否存在资本咒骂?论文运用俄罗斯1999一2017年的82个联邦区的数据对以上两个成绩停止计量磨练,磨练成果注解(1)天然资本天赋与俄罗斯经济增加有明显的正相干性,俄罗斯不存在地域层面的资本咒骂,资本充盈地域取得了更快的经济增加速度,天然资本依然是支持俄罗斯以后经济增加的基本;(2)然则资本咒骂的传导机制照样在俄罗斯施展着感化,采掘业对研发与教导投入、本钱积聚发生了挤出效应俄语论文,而且对轨制也有负面作用。但很多人对其成长远景其实不看好,对俄罗斯成长远景的质疑更多来自基本经济层面,个中经济原料化是人们存眷的核心之一。另外一方面俄罗斯的经济表示与我们等待的成果有必定差距,与其在原料、动力方面的伟大潜力很不相当。天然资本开辟为何没有很好地带动俄罗斯经济增加?往后应当怎样做?论文从内生的要素活动、技巧和外生的轨制支配等角度剖析了俄罗斯天然资本制约经济增加的渠道。要想破解天然资本对俄罗斯经济增加的多角度束缚,对内必需从轨制支配、经济转型、技巧立异和好处分派动手,割断资本咒骂的传导机制;对外要经由过程在区域经济计谋协作和家当计谋同盟等运动中采用博弈行动,变“资本的咒骂”为“资本话语权”,在区域竞争与协作中奇妙地运用天然资本这一杠杆来取得所需的本钱、技巧等要素,追求“天然本钱”与“物资本钱”、“人力本钱”的对等对话,要真正用好用足手里的“王牌”,推进本国经济的增加。“资本咒骂”是个具有全球维度的成绩。中国和俄罗斯同为向市场经济转型的年夜国,年夜多半实证研究注解,在中国,不管是在地域层面上照样资本型城市都存在着显著的“资本咒骂”景象。中西部地域等省分,固然天然资本充盈,但历久的经济增加却绝对迟缓。俄罗斯在战胜资本咒骂方面的经历和经验对我国资本型地域具有自创意义。往后俄罗斯将会持续保持必定范围和数目的动力原资料出口;另外一方面,俄罗斯的经济成长形式将会向立异成长形式转化,中国应当在资本深加工和高新技巧范畴与俄罗斯增强协作。

Abstract:

Economic growth is a complex process. Natural capital, special is put into renewable capital, the economic growth of the important significance of the side. But the capital is not always the gospel, it will affect the economic growth through various channels of influence. Russia in geographically across Eurasia two continents, is the world's biggest country territory. Vast territory area, multi pole geographical position and special geological structure, make its territory has a unique natural resources, especially mineral resources. After the transition of Russia has experienced a long-term economic recession process, but from the beginning of 1999 Russia against the tide ebbs, the economy began said the rapid increase in the growth. 1999 - 2017 Russia GDP average annual increase of 6. 98%. Then, the natural capital in the Russian economy this ten year increase in the process of playing what kind of role? Russian regional level can exist capital curse? Paper application of 82 2017 1999 federal district data to test the above two results, test results note (1) natural capital talent and Russia's economic growth has obvious positive relevance, Russia does not exist regional level capital curse, capital surplus region achieved a faster economic growth, natural capital is still supporting the basic economic growth in Russia, but the transmission mechanism of capital curse still in Russia to play a role in the development and training of investment, capital accumulation, the system also has a negative impact on the 2. But many people are not optimistic about the growth prospects of the Russian growth prospects questioned more from the basic economic level, the economic development of raw materials is one of the core concerns of the people. Russia, on the other hand, said the economy is bound to have a gap with the results we are waiting for, and its great potential in raw materials, power is not quite. Why the natural capital is not very good to open up the Russian economy to increase? What should be done in the future? From the perspective of endogenous factors, skills, and external control of the system, the paper analyzes the channel of the economic increase of natural capital in Russia. To break the shackles of natural capital on multi angle Russian economy increase, to dominate, from the essential system of economic transformation, innovation and benefit allocation techniques begin, the conduction mechanism of cut capital curse; through the process of regional economy in foreign strategic cooperation and strategic alliance and other sports in the home game action, "the Curse of capital" as the "capital of discourse", the application of natural capital in the regional competition and cooperation wonderfully in the leverage to obtain needed capital, skills and other factors, the pursuit of "natural capital" and "capital goods" and "human cost" equal dialogue, to really make full use of the hands of the "trump card". To promote the increase of national economy. "Curse of the capital" is a result of the global dimension. China and Russia, as the country's transition to a market economy, most empirical research notes in China, whether it is on the regional level, capital cities have significant capital curse scene. The Midwest Province, natural capital is full, but long-term economic growth is slow. Russia's experience and experience in defeating the curse of capital has its own significance to China's capital region. Back Russia will continue to maintain must number range and power of raw materials export; on the other hand, Russia's economic growth will be to innovation and development in the form of transformation, China should be in deep processing of capital and high technology in the field of Russia and strengthen cooperation.

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