白俄罗斯产业结构优化探讨[俄语论文]

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在国度经济成长的进程中,经济总量的增加与家当构造的状况有很年夜的关系,一个公道的家当构造系统是经济连续成长的主要包管。白俄罗斯自1991年自力以来,公民经济获得了很年夜的成长,家当构造也产生了伟大变更。然则,白俄罗斯依然是成长中国度,当今的统计数据注解,白俄罗斯的家当构造其实不是非常的公道,第三家当成长滞后、三次家当外部构造不公道等抵触严重制约着白俄罗斯经济的成长。白俄罗斯要想在新时期的平易近族强林中占领一席之地,就必需在庞杂的家当构造系统中构成具有竞争力的家当构造。本文试图经由过程对白俄罗斯家当构造停止深刻的剖析研究,提出了白俄罗斯家当构造优化的计划和假想,以完成白俄罗斯经济的进一步成长。本文重要从以下几个方面临白俄罗斯的家当构造停止了研究:起首,本文对家当构造实际的汗青演化和成长及国际外家当构造实际的研究现状停止了综述,为白俄罗斯家当构造的优化研究供给了相干的实际支撑;其次,本文运用定量剖析与标准剖析相联合的办法,以白俄罗斯的经济统计数据为基本剖析了最近几年来白俄罗斯三次家当构造及三次家当的外部构造,以总结白俄罗斯最近几年来家当构造的现状和成绩;再次,本文提出了白俄罗斯家当构造优化的尺度,并从需求身分和供应身分对制约白俄罗斯家当构造优化的身分停止了深刻的剖析,以得出白俄罗斯家当构造优化的能够性;最初,依据萨缪尔森等人得出的“慢车道”定理,运用2017年白俄罗斯的投入产出表数据,盘算出在均衡增加的前提下白俄罗斯三次家当的最优构造为6.84%:65.64%:27.52%(按社会总产值盘算的家当构造),并以到2017年是完成最优构造为假定,树立起白俄罗斯家当构造优化调剂的计划。经由过程剖析研究,本文可以得出如许的结论:白俄罗斯三次家当比例不调和,第三家当外部休息临盆率低下;第二家当外部,轻工业绝对落伍,严重障碍了经济的成长:依据相干数据,白俄罗斯应公道调剂第二家当,加速成长第三家当,调剂休息力构造,增进家当构造的公道化。联合白俄罗斯家当构造的剖析及在此基本上做出的优化调剂计划计划,论文提出了白俄罗斯家当构造优化调剂的对策,为白俄罗斯树立公道的家当构造和完成经济的可连续成长供给了实际根据。

Abstract:

In the process of national economic growth, the economy increase and industrial structure are very big, and a reasonable industrial structure system is main guarantee the continuous economic growth. Belarus since 1991 since independence, citizens have great economic growth, industrial structure also produced great change. However, Belarus is still a developing country, today's statistical data annotation, Belarus industrial structure in fact is not very reasonable, the belongings growth lag, three possessions in the internal structure is reasonable and serious conflict restricts the growth of the Belarusian economy. Belarus wants to occupy a place in the new period of ethnic spinulosa, it is necessary to composition in the complex industrial structure system with the competitiveness of industrial structure. This article attempts through the process of Belarus belongings tectonic stop deep analysis and study, proposed Belarus industrial structure optimization plan and the imaginary, to complete the further development of the Belarusian economy. This article from the following several aspects of industrial structure in Belarus to stop the discussion: first, this paper researches on the actual history of industrial structure evolution and growth and international laws when constructing the actual stop review, supply actual support for optimization of coherent discussion of Belarus industrial structure; secondly, the application of standard analysis and quantitative analysis methods joint approach to economic statistical data of Belarus as the basic analysis of the external structure of Belarus three times and three times as the industrial structure in recent years, to sum up the present situation of Belarus industrial structure and performance in recent years; thirdly, the paper presents Belarus industrial structure optimization scale, and stop a deep analysis from the demand and supply of Belarus identity identity identity to optimize industrial structure, the industrial structure optimization in Belarus To. Initially, according to Samuelson et al drawn "slow lane" theorem, application in 2017 Belarus input-output table data, calculates the increase in equilibrium under the premise of Belarus three possessions of the optimal structure for the 6.84%:65.64%:27.52% (according to the calculation of social total output value of industrial structure), and in 2017 is complete optimal structure is assumed, establish Belarus industrial structure optimization adjustment plan. Through analysis and study, we can draw such conclusion: Clash of Belarus three possessions proportions, the third possessions outside rest birth rate is low; the second belongings outside, light industry is relatively backward, a serious obstacle to the economic growth: on the basis of coherent data and Belarus should be fair to swap second belongings, accelerate the development of the third possessions, adjust the rest of tectonic stress, promote the rationalization of the industrial structure. Combined with Belarus industrial structure analysis and this basically make the optimization adjustment plan, this paper puts forward the Belarus industrial structure optimization adjustment strategy, Belarus to establish reasonable industrial structure and economy can develop continuously supply the according to the actual.

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