对外贸易促进越南经济增长的实证探讨An empirical study on the economic growth of Vietnam 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，内容请直接查看目录。） 对外商业与经济增加之间的关系,历来是国际商业范畴研究的热门。本文在以后国际商业主流实际支持的基本上,研究了越南自改革开放今后其对外商业与经济成长之间的互相关系,从商业视角说明了越南经济高速增加的缘由。越南的改革开放过程,很年夜水平上就是一个对外商业积极成长的过程。不外,在取得极年夜成长的同时,越南的对外商业也存在诸多不公道的处所,例如出口产物构造不公道、外贸市场带有显著的地区特点、外贸逆差有扩展化趋向等。这些成绩,跟着越南参加世贸组织和中国—东盟自贸区的建成而变得更庞杂,机遇与挑衅并存。本文总结了以后国际商业的研究实际、办法,并概述了越南经济和对外商业成长过程,然后运用描写性统计、协整、回归等计量经济学办法,研究越南对外商业现状与而临的成绩,最初在自创新兴成长中国度的对外商业经历基本上,有针对性地提出改良越南对外商业状态的对策。本文以越南对外商业对经济增加的增进感化为研究内容,共分五部门：起首,解释本文研究的内容、选题的意义和论述研究办法；其次,对经济增加实际和对外商业实际停止梳理,总结对外商业与经济增加关系的文献综述,并对增进论、消极论和折衷论等分歧不雅点睁开阐述,提出越南对外商业增进经济增加的主题,分离从出口和出口两个角度论述对外商业增进越南经济增加的机制；再次,对越南经济成长的过程停止回想,引见越南对外商业的成长进程,剖析其特色和成长趋向,为提出外贸政策供给实际根据；然后,依据越南1990-2017年的微观数据,联合图表,运用回归剖析、协整顿论和格兰杰磨练等计量手腕,对对外商业与GDP、花费、投资等的作用停止了定量剖析,根据计量剖析成果得出相干结论；最初,在后面剖析的基本上,自创蓬勃国度、新兴成长中国度特殊是中国的经历,提出改良越南对外商业、进步经济成长程度的相干建议。 Abstract: The relationship between foreign trade and economic growth has always been a hot research field in the field of international business. This paper in the future international commercial mainstream practical support basic research is the Vietnam since the reform and opening up the mutual relationship between the future of its foreign trade and economic growth, from a business perspective illustrates the growth of Vietnam's economic reason. Vietnam's reform and opening up process, a very large level is a process of positive growth of foreign business. Nevertheless, in obtaining huge growth at the same time, Vietnam's foreign trade also exist many unreasonable places, such as export product structure not fair, the foreign trade market with significant regional characteristics, foreign trade deficit with expansion trend. These results, followed by Vietnam in completion of the WTO and China - ASEAN Free Trade Area and become a more complex, opportunities and challenges coexist. This paper summarizes the after international business research theory and methods, and an overview of the Vietnam Economic and foreign trade growth process, then applied descriptive statistics, cointegration regression econometric methods, the research of Vietnam's foreign trade status and and the advent of the achievements, initially in self innovation promotes the growth of China's foreign trade experience to put forward the improvement measures of the state of Vietnam foreign trade. Based on the economic growth of Vietnam's foreign trade promotion role as the research content is divided into five parts: first, explain the content of the paper, the significance of the topic and discusses the research methods; secondly, the actual increase and foreign commercial real carding on the economy, foreign trade and economic increase summarizes the literature review of the relationship between, and for the promotion of negative theory and eclectic theory and so on different point of view on open, Vietnam foreign trade promoting economic increase of the theme of separation from two perspectives discussed the export and export foreign trade mechanism to promote economic growth in Vietnam; thirdly, the process of economic growth in Vietnam to stop, foreign trade growth process on Vietnam, analysis of its characteristics and the development trend, put forward according to the actual supply of foreign trade policy; then, based on micro data, Vietnam 1990-2017 years of combined chart, regression analysis, CO application of rectification Measurement theory and Granger hone wrist, effect of foreign trade and GDP, consumption, investment and stop the quantitative analysis, according to the empirical analysis of the results obtained coherent conclusion. Initially, in front of analysis on the basis of own flourishing nation, growth of the emerging Chinese special is experienced in China, put forward improved Vietnam foreign trade, improve the economic development level of coherent proposals. 目录: |
