越南外商直接投资与经济增长关系的实证探讨An empirical study on the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Vietnam 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，内容请直接查看目录。） 越南从1986开端经济改造以来，经济扶植获得了伟大的造诣。依据结合国商业与成长年夜会(UNCTAD)出书的申报指出越南成为亚洲最具优势的外商直接投资目标国之一，并在一切亚洲国度中历久坚持吸引巨额定商直接投资，这使得越南经济范围从1986到2017年增加了近5倍，同期的经济年均增加率更高达6。93% [1]。能吸引如斯巨额的外商直接投资和经济范围的飞速增加都与越南当局积极的经济政策密弗成分，越语论文题目，同时也与其开放灵巧的吸引外资政策密弗成分。从改造伊始，越南对本国投资者的开放水平就愈来愈高，乃至许可本国投资者投资许多敏感家当诸如金融业，动力家当，批发业和电佩服务业、军事工业等等…另外，越南2017年吸引外资到达创记载的958亿美元，在一切亚洲国度吸引外资排名中列第三位。若何量化外商直接投资在经济增加中所饰演的主要感化一向是很多国度评论辩论的热门，这些评论辩论对研究外商直接投资与经济增加的关系供给了辽阔的视野和现实根据，固然很多研究都是存眷蓬勃经济体中外商直接投资与经济增加的关系，然则也有部门研究例如越南等成长中经济体中外商直接投资与经济增加的关系。但是它们中得年夜部门研究重要集中在外商直接投资对投资目标国的经济增加的直接和直接效应方面。只要少少数研究外资与经济增加的因果关系，越语论文网站，恰是如斯，所以本文的重要研究偏向就是聚焦于研究越南外商直接投资与经济增加的量化数学模子及由此剖析两者的因果关系。本文运用计量经济学、国际商业学和微观经济学的根本道理和办法并运用工业临盆指数(IPI)、国际临盆总值(GDP)、外商直接投资(FDI)等目标来权衡经济增加，和联合从越南中心统计局(GSO)、结合国商业与成长年夜会(UNCTAD)越南投资与筹划部(MPI)、世界银行(WB)、国际泉币基金组织(IMF)等数据起源所汇集1995到2017年越南的经济数据来剖析和外商直接投资与经济增加的关系。在剖析进程中，本文起首剖析越南外商投资散布不平衡，并说明其成因，为了改良外商投资的情况，越南当局公布了《越南外商直接投资法》并对该法案停止了5次修订，并引诱越南外商投资从1986年起明显增长，另外，本文还比较和剖析越南和亚洲重要国度的外商投资法案优缺陷。接上去，本文运用一阶和二阶单整磨练、Granger协整磨练、ADF磨练、最小二乘法、线性回归得出了外商直接投资与经济增加之间的历久稳固关系，并得出猜测数学模子，提醒出外商直接投资不只对经济增加有积极作用，照样经济增加的重要决议身分之一，在本文的最初得出了外商直接投资与经济增加关系，并给出一些增进吸引外商直接投资和让外商直接投资更有用拉动经济增加的政策和建议。 Abstract: Vietnam since the beginning of 1986 economic reform, economic construction has gained great attainments. On the basis of our business and growth Conference (UNCTAD) published declaration pointed out that Vietnam to become Asia's most advantage of foreign direct investment in one of the target, and in all Asian countries in the long-term fixed investment to attract a huge amount, which makes the Vietnamese economy range from 1986 to 2017 increased by nearly 5 times over the same period, the average annual economic increase the rate is as high as 6. 93% [1]. The rapid increase of close economic policies to attract foreign direct investment so huge and economic range and the Vietnamese authorities actively, but also with open smart policies to attract foreign capital close. From the beginning of the transformation, open to domestic investors in Vietnam is more and more high, and even domestic investors have many sensitive licenses such as finance, power and possessions, wholesale telecommunications service industry, military industry and so on... In addition, Vietnam in 2017 to attract foreign capital to reach a record $95 billion 800 million, in all Asian countries to attract foreign investment ranked third in the rankings. How to quantify the main effect of FDI in the economic growth has been a hot discussion of many countries. These comments have a broad view of the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth. Although many studies focus on the relationship between FDI and economic growth in the booming economy, the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in growing economies such as Vietnam and so on. But most of them have to focus on the direct and direct effects of foreign direct investment on the economic growth of the target country. As long as there is a small number of studies on the causal relationship between foreign investment and economic growth, so the important research of this paper is focused on the quantitative analysis of the mathematical model and the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth in Vietnam. The international commercial application of econometrics and microeconomics and the basic principles and methods and application of industrial production index (IPI), gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI) aims to measure economic increase, and the joint from Vietnam Central Bureau of Statistics (GSO), United Nations Conference (business and growth UNCTAD) Vietnam investment and planning department (MPI), World Bank (WB), International Monetary Fund (IMF) data origin collection of economic data in 2017 1995 to Vietnam to analyze the relations and the foreign direct investment and economic growth. In the process of analysis, this paper analyzes the distribution of foreign investment in Vietnam, and explains its origin, in order to improve foreign investment, the Vietnamese authorities announced the "foreign direct investment law" and the act of the 5 amendment, and to lure foreign investment in Vietnam from 1986 onwards, in addition, this paper also compares and analyzes the important countries of Vietnam and Asia, foreign investment act. Then, the application of one order and two order test and Granger cointegration, ADF training, hone the least square method, linear regression was obtained between foreign direct investment and economic increase in the long-term stable relationship, and the speculation mathematical model, to remind the foreign direct investment not only has a positive impact on economic growth, as one of the important resolutions as economic growth, increase in the initially obtained foreign direct investment and the economy, and give some promotion to attract foreign direct investment and foreign direct investment make more useful policies and suggestions to promote economic increase. 目录: |
