法国对华直接投资与中法贸易之间关系的实证探讨[法语论文]

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国际直接投资和国际商业作为国际经济运动中最主要的两种情势,活着界经济一体化的过程下,穿插融会的趋向开端日渐显著。明天随同着世界经济全球化的成长,中国对外商业范围赓续扩展,外资流入敏捷增加,是以对投资与商业之间关系的迷信掌握和二者政策目的的调和同一已被提到了计谋高度。本文旨在联合国其余基本上对投资与商业的关系停止研究,使结论更具实际意义。本文以法国为例,起首从法国对中国直接投资开端,回想了法国对华直接投资的成长过程,总结了其投资的范围特点、行业特点及地域散布特点。接着对中法两国双边商业成长过程,进出口商品构造及中法商业不屈衡的现状以图文联合的措施停止了具体论述。然后经由过程对法国对华直接投资与中法商业关系的相干剖析和中法商业的出口、出口及进出口多个模子的比拟剖析,应用协整剖析办法、格兰杰因果磨练和基于VAR模子的脉冲呼应函数等静态计量经济剖析技巧,实证研究了法国对华直接投资与中法商业的出口、出口及进出口总额之间的关系,发明法国对华直接投资与中法商业(包含出口、出口及进出口总额)之间切实其实存在着历久的平衡关系。进一步剖析发明,法国对华直接投资和中法商业之间存在着互补的关系;经由过程格兰杰因果磨练发明,法国对华直接投资与我国对法国出口和出口之间存在单向因果关系。经由过程脉冲呼应函数和方差分化发明法国对华直接投资对中法商业的作用存在显著的滞后景象,不管是出口、出口照样进出口总额都存在显著的滞后景象,法国对华直接投资对我国对法国出口开端会有负向的作用以后才会转化为正向作用。法国对华直接投资对我国对法国出口的增加和进出口总量的增加一向都邑坚持比拟稳固的态势。在此基本上,应用面板数据剖析办法对法国在华直接投资与我国出口法国分歧类型商品之间的关系停止剖析,发明法国对华直接投资的增长将惹起我国出口法国的低级产物削减,同时将惹起我国出口法国的本钱或技巧密集型产物较年夜的增长,法语论文,这将增进我国对法国出口商品商业构造的改良,晋升我国出口商品的竞争力。最初,法语毕业论文,本文在综合剖析的基本上提出了相干建议,包含设立向法国公司宣扬的机构,增强常识产权掩护任务,勉励中法中小企业的普遍协作,改良投资情况,勉励法国公司对中西部地域的直接投资和制订相调和的商业政策和外资政策等。以期为我国持续加年夜中法之间的经贸协作,采用响应的手腕和办法引诱法国公司对华投资,增强法资引进及公道运用,供给必定的参考。

Abstract:

International direct investment and international trade as the international economic activities in the main two kinds of situation, living world economic integration process, interspersed with fusion trend began to become more and more significant. Tomorrow along with the growth of world economy globalization, China's foreign trade scope expands ceaselessly, foreign capital inflow increases agility is to master on the relationship between investment and commercial science and policy to reconcile the same has been referred to the strategic height. This paper aims at the United Nations the rest basically on the relationship between investment and business research, which makes the conclusion more meaningful. In this paper, an example of France, first of all from the French direct investment in Chinese beginning, recalled the growth process of the French direct investment in China, summarizes its features, the investment industry characteristics and regional distribution characteristics. Then the Sino French bilateral trade growth, import and export commodity structure and the Sino French trade imbalance situation to stop joint method for graphic details. Then through the French direct investment in China and Sino French relationship of Commerce coherent analysis and French commercial export, export and import and export multiple model comparison and analysis, using cointegration analysis and Granger causality to hone and based on VAR model of the pulse echo function static econometric analysis techniques, the empirical study of the French direct investment in China and Sino French trade export, export and import and export volume between the relationship, invention of France to China's direct investment and Sino French business (including export, export and import and export volume) between and in fact there is a long-term equilibrium relationship. Further analysis of the invention, between the French direct investment in China and Sino French commercial exist complementary relationship; through to discover process Granger causality hone, French direct investment in China and our country there is a one-way causal relationship between French exports and export of. Through the process of pulse echo function and variance differentiation invented French direct investment in China on Sino French business, there is a significant time lag phenomenon, whether it is exports, export still import and export volume has a significant lag scene, French direct investment in China on China's exports to France beginning will have a negative impact to the later will be converted to positive effect. French direct investment in China on China's increased to the French export and import and export volume increase has always been cities to relatively stable trend. In essentially, using panel data analysis on relationship between French direct investment in China and China's export French differences types of goods to carry on the analysis, the invention of French FDI growth will cause our country exported to France lower product cuts, also will cause our country exported to France's capital or technology intensive products is the eve of the growth, which will promote the improvement to the French export commodity structure in our country, the promotion of the competitiveness of China's export commodities. Initially, this paper in a comprehensive analysis of basically put forward suggest coherent, institutions including the establishment of the French companies to promote, enhance intellectual property protection task, encourage Sino French SMEs generally collaborative, improved investment situation, encouraged French companies to the Midwest region direct investment and reconcile trade policy and foreign policy making etc.. In order to increase between China's sustained economic and trade cooperation between China and France, the means and methods to response the lure of French companies to invest in China, the introduction of capital and reasonable application of enhancement method, providing a certain reference.

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