| 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，俄语论文，内容请直接查看目录。） 动力是国度经济成长和平安之所系，动力计谋成绩已成为列国当局重点计划的核心成绩之一。俄罗斯作为石化资本年夜国高度看重中历久动力成长计谋的制订和实行，经由赓续探究和修改，扣动了《2030年前动力计谋》的出台，把眼光重点转向了西方，提出将要积极增进与亚太地域双边和多边的动力协作。俄罗斯与亚太地域作为动力出口国与动力花费国南北极，在国际政治舞台上具有无足轻重的位置。从以后的国际情势来看，亚太地域的经济获得了很年夜的成长，而要保持这类优越的态势，就须要动力的连续稳固供应，而这就使得国际动力市场发生了不小的更改。针对油气资本来讲，供求存在着不屈衡，不管是双边关系、亚太稳固，照样国际格式的变更成长都与俄罗斯语亚太地域的动力关系慎密接洽在一路。本文研究中以俄罗斯2030年前动力计谋为焦点，以亚太地域为对象，以SWOT模子为对象，构成国度计谋层面的SWOT模子研究办法，俄语专业论文，深刻剖析俄罗斯与亚太地域动力协作的好坏势、机会和挑衅，树立动力计谋评价的根本框架，清楚、深入地控制纷纷复杂的俄罗斯的动力计谋内在，对2030年前俄罗斯在亚太地域的动力计谋取向提出猜测，据此得出俄罗斯与亚太地域的动力关系并不是我们所想的是坚实的同盟，固然也并不是是相对的竞争敌手，两边既有协作的需要性，又有普遍的协作范畴，但彼此之间仍有磨擦，也恰是由于如斯，静态协作和竞争关系就成了俄罗斯和亚太地域动力关系的一个必定的走势，只要如许能力完成真实的互利双赢。 Abstract: Power is the national economic growth and security of the Department, the power strategy has become one of the key program of the national authorities, one of the key achievements. Russia as petrochemical capital big country attaches great importance to the long-term power development strategy of formulate and implement, through ceaseless exploration and revision. Pull the trigger the introduction of the 2030 power strategy, the eyes focus on the west, and puts forward will actively promote the Asia Pacific Regional bilateral and multilateral energy cooperation. Russia and the Asia Pacific region as a driving force for export countries and the power to spend the south pole, in the international political arena has a pivotal position. From the international situation, the Asia Pacific Regional Economic won the very big growth, and to maintain the advantage of the situation, it is needed to power a steady supply. And this makes the international power market is not a small change has occurred. For oil and gas capital, supply and demand are unbalanced, whether bilateral relations, Asia Pacific firm, still international format change growth are Russian Asia Pacific regional power relations of rigorous and approached in a way. In Russia before 2030 is the focus of this research in the dynamic strategy, in the Asia Pacific region as the object, using SWOT model as the object, a national strategy level SWOT model research methods, in-depth analysis of Russia and the Asia Pacific regional cooperation has power potential, opportunities and challenges, set up the basic framework of the dynamic evaluation strategy, clear and thorough control have complex internal power strategy of Russia, on 2030 Russia power in the Asia Pacific region put forward the strategic orientation of speculation, to derive the dynamic relationship between Russia and the Asia Pacific region is not what we think is a solid alliance, although not rival relative, on both sides of both need cooperation and collaboration. The category of common, but there are still some friction between each other, it is precisely because of this, static collaboration and competition between Russia and the Asia Pacific have become A certain trend of the dynamic relationship of the domain, as long as the ability to complete the true mutual benefit and win-win. 目录: 摘要 4-5 Abstract 5 目录 7-9 第1章 绪论 9-20 1.1 课题探讨背景 9-11 1.2 课题探讨的意义 11-12 1.3 国内外探讨近况 12-18 1.3.1 俄罗斯国内的探讨情况 12-14 1.3.2 中国国内的探讨情况 14-16 1.3.3 国外探讨情况 16-17 1.3.4 国内外近况评价 17-18 1.4 主要探讨内容与探讨措施 18-20 1.4.1 主要探讨内容 18 1.4.2 探讨措施 18-20 第2章 俄罗斯亚太地区能源战略的形成 20-28 2.1 引言 20 2.2 俄罗斯能源战略选择动因 20-21 2.3 俄罗斯能源战略的发展与转变 21-25 2.3.1 休克式疗法后遗症：2017 年前能源战略 21-22 2.3.2 铁腕总统破解困局：2020 年前战略 22-24 2.3.3 梅普组合重拳再出：2030 年前战略 24-25 2.4 俄罗斯与亚太地区国家能源合作的原因 25-26 2.5 俄罗斯与亚太地区国家能源合作的途径 26-27 2.6 本章小结 27-28 第3章 俄罗斯的亚太能源战略 SWOT 略论 28-42 3.1 引言 28 3.2 俄罗斯能源出口优势和劣势略论 28-36 3.2.1 政治优势：战略持续与法学健全 28-30 3.2.2 政治劣势：挑战失败与调整乏力 30-32 3.2.3 经济优势：资源禀赋与基建完善 32-33 3.2.4 经济劣势：结构失调与管制严格 33-36 3.3 俄罗斯能源出口的机遇略论 36-38 3.3.1 亚太经济崛起：发展需要能源 36-37 3.3.2 正式加入 WTO：机遇大于挑战 37 3.3.3 中东、北非乱局：能源局势动荡 37-38 3.4 俄罗斯能源的威胁略论 38-40 3.4.1 价格风险：“荷兰病”潜在危险 38-39 3.4.2 欧盟制约：能源博弈艰难 39 3.4.3 新能源威胁：前景不容乐观 39-40 3.5 本章小结 40-42 第4章 实现俄罗斯亚太能源战略的建议 42-50 4.1 引言 42 4.2 与亚太国家建立政治互信 42-44 4.2.1 缓和领土纷争 42-43 4.2.2 建立合作互信 43-44 4.3 加快油气运输能力建设 44-45 4.4 积极参与亚太地区能源合作 45-49 4.4.1 加速融入 WTO 46 4.4.2 实现能源出口渠道多元化 46-48 4.4.3 加建与国际能源组织的合作 48 4.4.4 争取石油定价权 48-49 4.5 本章小结 49-50 结论 50-52 参考文献 52-57 致谢 57 |
