| 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，俄语论文题目，俄语论文网站，内容请直接查看目录。） 2002年开端,美元进入弱势调剂,美元绝对金砖国度泉币也表示出分歧水平的升值。中国与其他金砖国度之间商业以美元作为计价及结算泉币。而与此同时,中国与印巴俄之间的商业却出现疾速成长。那末,美元弱势调剂能否会作用中国与印巴俄之间的商业,若存在作用,又是若何作用?采取2003年至2017年年度,运用比拟剖析,本文研究了中国、美国与印巴俄之间商业关系。同时,本文彩用2003年至2017年季度及月度的面板数据,实证剖析了美元弱势调剂对中国与印巴俄之间商业的作用。重要取得以下三个方面的成果：第一,中国、美国与其他金砖国度之间不存在明显的“三角”商业关系,同时,中美两国在印巴俄市场也不存在明显的竞争关系。是以,美元绝对金砖国度泉币升值,便可能增进中国与其他金砖国度之间的商业,也能够克制中国与印巴俄之间的商业。这取决于,在金砖国度之间商业中,进出口方的绝对议价才能。第二,美元弱势调剂将明显增进中国与印巴俄之间的商业。然则,美元弱势调剂对中印、中巴、中俄双边商业的作用分歧。这一实证成果反应出中印、中巴、中俄双边商业格式的分歧。同时,在美元弱势调剂下,国民币双边汇率升值对中国与印巴俄之间商业具有明显的增进感化。第三,美元弱势调剂对中印、中巴及中俄分歧技巧含量产物商业的作用各不雷同。美元升值将增进中印、中巴及中俄之间以中国出口为主的HIGH类产物商业。美元升值将增进中印、中巴之间以中国出口为主的MID类产物商业,但对中俄之间中国出口为主的MID类产物商业作用不肯定。美元升值将克制中印、中巴之间以中国出口为主的ARG类产物商业；美元升值将增进中俄之间以中国出口为主的ARG类产物。基于上述结论,研究以为：(1)中国与印巴俄之间还有异常辽阔的商业及协作空间,所以中国应重视双边商业互惠。(2)中国与印巴俄之间商业遭到美元汇率的庞杂作用,金砖国度间应积极推进辅币结算。(3)斟酌到中国与印度、巴西及俄罗斯的商业格式各分歧,中国在商业政策方面须要根据各自分歧特色停止异同看待。 Abstract: Beginning in 2002, the U.S. dollar into a weak swap, the U.S. dollar is definitely the currency of the BRIC countries also expressed differences in the level of appreciation. Business between China and other BRIC countries as a dollar denominated and settled currency. And at the same time, China and India and Pakistan between Russia and the commercial development of rapid growth. The weak dollar swap can affect trade between China and Russia India and Pakistan, if there is an effect, and how the influence? Take the year 2003 to 2017, application of comparative analysis, this thesis studies the China, USA and India between Russia and business relationships. At the same time, this paper uses the panel data from 2003 to 2017, quarterly and monthly, to empirically analyze the influence of the weak dollar swap on the business between China and India and Pakistan. An important success in the following three aspects: first, between China, the United States and the other BRIC countries there is no obvious "triangle" business relationship. At the same time, China and the United States in India and Russia market does not exist significant competitive relationship. The dollar is absolutely the currency appreciation of the BRIC countries, it may enhance the business between China and other BRIC countries, but also to control the business between China and India and pakistan. This depends on the business in the BRIC countries, the absolute bargaining power of the import and export parties. Second, the weak dollar swap will significantly enhance the business between China and India and pakistan. What, then, the dollar weak swap for China and India, China and Pakistan, China and Russia bilateral differences in the impact of business. This empirical results reflect the differences between China and India, Pakistan, China and Russia bilateral business format. At the same time, in the weak dollar swap, the exchange rate appreciation of the RMB exchange rate between China and India and Pakistan has a significant role in promoting business. Third, the dollar weak swap for China and India, China and Russia and the differences between the technical content of the product business impact is not identical. The appreciation of the dollar will increase China's exports to China and Russia and China and Russia in the HIGH products business. The appreciation of the dollar will increase China's exports to China and Pakistan as the main products of the MID products business, but China and Russia between the export based MID product business impact is not sure. Dollar appreciation will restrain China and India, China and Pakistan to China's export based ARG products business; the dollar will increase the appreciation of China's exports to the Chinese ARG products. Based on the above conclusions, the study concluded: (1) there is an unusually wide commercial and cooperative space between China and India and Pakistan, so China should pay attention to bilateral trade and mutual benefit. (2) between Chinese with India and Pakistan Russia affected the dollar commercial complex, the BRICs should actively promote the currency settlement. (3) in view of the differences between China and India, Brazil and Russia in the business format, China in terms of commercial policy needs to be based on differences in the characteristics of different. 目录: |
