| 摘要:（摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制，下载原文正常，内容请直接查看目录。） 2017年世界商业组织经由过程了俄罗斯请求出世的要求，俄语论文范文，赞成其参加世界商业组织，2017年俄罗斯国际杜马经由过程了这一提议，标记着俄罗斯正式参加了世界商业组织，使WTO的商业笼罩率到达97%以上，成为真正意义上的世界组织。俄罗斯出世这一身分将会对国际商业发生必定的冲击，而班轮运输作为国际商业的一个派生市场，也将遭到必定水平的作用。在如许一个时势配景下，剖析俄罗斯出世对于国际班轮市场的作用具有必定的研究价值。论文起首引见了商业与航运的关系，为本文的剖析奠基了实际基本，紧接着对时序剖析中经常使用的突发作用剖析模子停止了梳理，选择了干涉模子作为基本模子。其次论文对近20年来俄罗斯进出口商业的根本情形和重要商业产物占比重要商业对象占比停止了剖析，并对俄罗斯出世议定书的重要内容做了简略引见，以为在制制品出口这一方面能够是出世对俄罗斯作用最年夜的范畴。最初论文经由过程树立比较干涉模子，从中国出世前后商业变更情形动身猜测了将来几年俄罗斯的进出口商业额，俄语毕业论文，同时联合商业与口岸集装箱吞吐量之间的对数关系猜测了出世后俄罗斯的集装箱吞吐量。剖析成果注解，至2020年，其集装箱吞吐量将到达710万TEU，约为现有程度的两倍。这将作用到国际班轮运输企业调剂全球航路结构和区域性口岸位置的变更。本文的课题具有前沿性和时效性，对于若何停止突发事宜的作用剖析有必定的意义。对于本文的缺乏的地方请列位学者予以示正。 Abstract: 2017 World Trade Organization through the requirements process the request of Russia was born in favor of its accession to the world trade organization, in 2017 the Russian Duma international through the process of the proposal, marking the Russia formally joined the world trade organization, enveloped the arrival rate of more than 97% of the WTO business, become a real sense of the world organization. Russian born this status will have a certain impact on the international business, while the liner shipping as a derivative market in international business, will also be affected by the level of impact. In such a situation background, analyze the influence of the Russian born on the international liner market has certain research value. Paper first introduced the relationship of Commerce and shipping, is the analysis of this paper lays a foundation of the actual basic, followed by the timing analysis is often used in sudden impact analysis model of the sort, select the interference model as the basic model. Secondly, for nearly 20 years to Russian import and export trade of the basic conditions and important commercial products accounted for more important business objects accounted for than to carry on the analysis, and important content of Russian born protocol made a brief introduction to that that was born of Russian influence in the largest category of products export in this. Initially the through the process of establishing comparative interference model, from before and after the birth of China commercial change situation of speculation in the future few years Russia's import and export trade, and the logarithmic relation between joint business with the port container throughput of speculation after the birth of Russia's container throughput. Analysis of the results of the note, to 2020, the container throughput will reach 7 million 100 thousand TEU, about two times the existing degree. This will affect the international liner shipping companies swap global route structure and regional port location changes. The topic of this paper has the leading edge and timeliness, and it has a certain significance to analyze the impact of the emergency. The lack of place please scholars are shown. 目录: 摘要 5-6 ABSTRACT 6-7 第一章 绪论 13-19 1.1 探讨近况 13-16 1.1.1 俄罗斯入世 13-14 1.1.2 突变理论模型 14-15 1.1.3 吞吐量预测 15-16 1.2 探讨措施 16-17 1.3 探讨目的与意义 17-19 1.3.1 探讨目的 17-18 1.3.2 探讨意义 18-19 第二章 理论综述 19-26 2.1 贸易与航运 19-21 2.1.1 基本理论 19-20 2.1.2 本文探讨思路 20-21 2.2 干预略论模型 21-25 2.2.1 模型介绍 21-24 2.2.2 模型运用 24-25 2.3 本章小结 25-26 第三章 俄罗斯贸易基本情况与入世议定书略论 26-47 3.1 俄罗斯对外贸易基本情况 26-27 3.2 俄罗斯对外贸易结构略论 27-39 3.2.1 俄罗斯对外贸易流向略论 27-35 3.2.2 俄罗斯对外贸易构成略论 35-39 3.3 俄罗斯入世议定书条款略论 39-46 3.3.1 俄罗斯入世议定书条款 39-43 3.3.2 入世议定书略论 43-46 3.4 本章小结 46-47 第四章 俄罗斯入世对国际班轮市场的作用 47-65 4.1 问题提出及模型建立 47-50 4.1.1 问题提取 47 4.1.2 建立对比干预模型 47-50 4.2 模型求解 50-54 4.2.1 对比国进出口贸易略论（中国，1991-2017） 50-52 4.2.2 俄罗斯进出口贸易预测（俄罗斯，1991-2020） 52-54 4.3 俄罗斯入世后的港口集装箱吞吐量预测 54-56 4.4 俄罗斯入世对班轮运输市场作用略论 56-62 4.4.1 集装箱港口建设加速 57-59 4.4.2 国际班轮运输航线调整 59-62 4.4.3 航运金融发展机遇 62 4.5 对中国相关航运公司的作用 62-63 4.6 本章小结 63-65 第五章 结论 65-68 5.1 本文主要工作与创新点 65-66 5.1.1 本文主要工作 65 5.1.2 创新点 65-66 5.2 后续探讨工作 66-68 参考文献 68-71 致谢 71-73 攻读学位期间已或录用的论文 73 |
