(摘要内容经过系统自动伪原创处理以避免复制,下载原文正常,德语论文,内容请直接查看目录。) 与传统的以为因欧洲泉币同一有益于下降生意业务本钱从而增长了欧元区国度包含德国商业量的不雅点分歧,本文经由过程运用引力模子剖析,发明欧元同一对德国出口和出口的作用是纰谬称的,它确切年夜年夜增长了德国的出口额,然则并没有明显增长其出口额,乃至还削减了出口额,这使得德国在对欧盟商业获益。之所以涌现这类状态,是由于同一的泉币支配使得德外货币现实上存在着升值效应。欧元对德国事有益的。进而从新审阅德国在此次欧债危机中的表示,它的行为略显“迟疑”,然则当我们看到欧元给德国带来的伟大收益时,就明确了德国事有“底线”的,它会尽力救助欧元区危机中的国度,以此保持欧元的稳固。欧元同一和德国经历给中国带来很强的启发意义,中国可以在国民币国际化、区域经济一体化、削减商业磨擦和增强国际市场整合方面有所作为。 Abstract: And traditional thought because of European currency with a beneficial to decrease the transaction cost and thus increase the euro zone countries include Germany commercial quantities of the indecent point of disagreement, through the process of the application of gravity model analysis, the creation of the euro with exports to Germany and exports affect is pi paradox says, it is clear that the majority of growth the German exports, however no significant growth in exports and also cut exports. This makes Germany in the EU business benefit. The emergence of this kind of state is due to the same currency domination, there the currency appreciation effect. The euro is good for Germany. And then from a new review of Germany in the European debt crisis, it's behavior slightly hesitant, but when we see the euro to Germany brought great benefits, it is clear that Germany has a "bottom line", it will try to help the euro zone crisis in the country, in order to protect the euro. The euro and German experience to China has a strong sense of inspiration, China can in the national currency internationalization, regional economic integration, reduce business friction and enhance the integration of the international market to make a difference. 目录: 摘要 3-4 Abstract 4 第1章 绪论 5-10 1.1 问题的提出及探讨意义 5-7 1.2 探讨措施和本文框架 7-8 1.3 创新点与难点 8-10 第2章 文献综述 10-15 2.1 最优货币区理论 10-11 2.2 统一货币对贸易作用的实证略论 11-15 第3章 欧元统一对德国进出口的非对称作用 15-32 3.1 统计性描述 15-19 3.1.1 数据来源与说明 15-16 3.1.2 主要变量统计描述 16-19 3.2 计量模型与检验 19-27 3.2.1 计量模型与结果 19-25 3.2.2 稳健性检验 25-27 3.3 欧元的德国货币贬值效应 27-32 第4章 德国在欧债危机中的表现评析以及对中国的启示意义 32-39 4.1 德国在欧债危机中的表现评析 32-35 4.2 对中国的启示意义 35-39 4.2.1 亚元及人民币的国际化 35-36 4.2.2 强化区域合作,扩展自由贸易区 36-37 4.2.3 转变经济增长方式,减少贸易摩擦 37-38 4.2.4 整合国内市场,降低地区分割程度 38-39 第5章 结论 39-41 5.1 全文总结 39-40 5.2 不足及展望 40-41 参考文献 41-44 致谢 44-45 |