| 经济全球化和区域经济一体化是现今世界经济成长成长进程中两年夜凸起景象和趋向，但鉴于WTO多边会谈历久受阻难以获得本质性的停顿，世界列国都在努力于参加各类区域经济协作组织，树立自在商业区业已成为列国介入经济全球化过程，否决和抵抗商业掩护主义的主要计谋选择。中韩两国作为东亚地域的两年夜主要经济体，自1992年两国建交以来，经贸协作获得了日新月异的停顿，经济接洽水平日渐加深，彼此成为主要的商业同伴。中韩两国为FTA的早日树立停止了平易近间结合研究，2006年又晋升为官产学结合研究，近期无望进入本质性会谈阶段。固然这将是一个庞杂且艰苦的进程，存在年夜量的成绩有待处理，但我们信任经由中韩两国当局及各界的配合尽力，必定会获得积极的结果。本文起首从商业和投资两方面阐述了中韩经贸协作的成长与现状，然后在论述了中韩各自的FTA成长计谋、对中韩商业相干目标停止了测算和对中韩的经济依附度停止了国际比拟的基本上剖析了构建中韩FTA的可行性，进而在构建中韩FTA发生的静态商业效应的基本上，经由过程对投资与商业关系的计量研究，商量了中韩FTA的外商直接投资预期效应，发明中韩FTA发生的投资效应要远小于商业效应，并且对两国的作用也不是平衡的即中韩FTA对韩国将带来非常显著的投资发明效应，韩语论文范文，韩语毕业论文，对中国将带来更多的是投资转移效应，并且从家当构造的角度剖析了构建中韩FTA能够发生的投资分派效应，最初从国际进出和家当构造两个方面临中韩FTA的构建停止了远景瞻望，而且分离从当局、公司及行业组织三个层面提出了构建中韩FTA的应对战略。 Abstract: Economic globalization and regional economic integration is the current world economic growth growth process in two of the eve of the bulges and trend, but in view of the WTO multilateral talks lasting blocked access to essential pause, countries in the world are in an effort to participate in various kinds of regional economic cooperation organization, establish a free trade area has already become the nations involved in the process of economic globalization veto and resist protectionism of the important strategic choice. China and South Korea as the East Asian region two years of major economies, since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries in 1992, economic and trade cooperation has been changing with each passing day, the level of economic ties has gradually deepened, becoming the main business partner. China and South Korea FTA as soon as possible to establish the folk combining with the research, 2006 and promotion official university industry joint research, recently hopeless entered a substantive stage talks. Although this will be a complex and difficult process, there are a large number of achievements to be dealt with, but we believe that through the cooperation between the two governments and all walks of life to try, will certainly get a positive result. This paper discusses the development and current situation of China ROK economic and trade cooperation from two aspects of business and investment in China and South Korea, then discusses their FTA development strategy of China and South Korea, commercial coherent target dependent stop stop international match basically analyzes the feasibility to build China Korea FTA estimates and South Korea's economy, and in the construction of static the commercial effect of Sino Korea FTA basically, through the process of measurement research on the relationship between investment and business, to discuss China ROK FTA expected foreign direct investment effect, investment effect and FTA invention is much less than the commercial effect, and the influence of the two countries is not balanced is FTA between China and South Korea to South Korea will bring the very invention effect significant investment, the China will bring more investment transfer effect, and from the angle of industrial structure analysis of the construction of China Korea FTA can happen Effect of investment allocation, originally from two aspects of international import and industrial structure Pro FTA between Korea and China build a prospective outlook, and separation from three aspects of government, enterprise and industry organizations put forward the construction of FTA between China and South Korea, the coping strategies. 目录: 摘要 4-5 ABSTRACT 5-6 绪论 11-18 0.1 选题背景和意义 11-12 0.2 文献综述 12-16 0.2.1 基础理论 12-14 0.2.2 国内外探讨近况 14-16 0.3 探讨思路和措施 16-17 0.3.1 探讨思路 16 0.3.2 探讨措施 16-17 0.4 创新点和不足 17-18 0.4.1 主要创新 17 0.4.2 不足之处 17-18 1 中韩经贸合作发展概况 18-23 1.1 贸易的发展状况 18-20 1.1.1 贸易总量的增长 18 1.1.2 贸易结构的优化 18-20 1.2 直接投资的发展状况 20-23 1.2.1 直接投资总量的增长 20-21 1.2.2 直接投资结构的优化 21-23 2 构建中韩 FTA 的可行性略论 23-35 2.1 中韩两国各自的 FTA 发展进程 23-25 2.1.1 中国的 FTA 发展进程 23-24 2.1.2 韩国的 FTA 发展进程 24-25 2.1.3 中韩 FTA 发展进程 25 2.2 中韩贸易指标测算 25-31 2.2.1 中韩显性比较优势指数 25-28 2.2.2 中韩产业内贸易指数 28-29 2.2.3 基于 Michaely 指数的中韩贸易潜力度量 29-31 2.3 中韩经贸依赖程度的国际比较 31-35 2.3.1 贸易结合度指数的国际比较 31-32 2.3.2 投资结合度指数的国际比较 32-35 3 中韩 FTA 的外商直接投资效应 35-53 3.1 构建中韩 FTA 的静态贸易效应 35-43 3.1.1 局部均衡模型的说明 35 3.1.2 贸易创造效应的局部均衡略论 35-41 3.1.3 贸易转移效应的局部均衡略论 41-43 3.2 投资与贸易关系的实证探讨 43-48 3.2.1 数据与变量的选取 43-48 3.2.3 结果的说明 48 3.3 构建中韩 FTA 的直接投资效应 48-53 3.3.1 投资创造效应 48-49 3.3.2 投资转移效应 49-50 3.3.3 投资分配效应 50-53 4 中韩 FTA 前景展望 53-57 4.1 有利于实现国际收支的平衡 53 4.1.1 减少中国对韩国的贸易逆差 53 4.1.2 引导合理的资本流动 53 4.2 有利于两国产业结构的优化 53-54 4.2.1 提高产业结构的互补性 53-54 4.2.2 促进产业层次的高级化 54 4.3 推进中韩 FTA 的对策建议 54-57 4.3.1 政府层面 54-55 4.3.2 公司层面 55-56 4.3.3 行业组织层面 56-57 参考文献 57-62 致谢 62-63 攻读学位期间发表论文以及参加科研情况 63-64 |
