中韩货币政策中介目标选择及效应的比较探讨[韩语论文]

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中介目的作为操作对象和终究目的接洽的桥梁,在泉币政策中具有无足轻重的感化,其有用性直接决议了泉币政策的实行后果,选择适当的泉币政策中介目的在泉币政策实行进程中起着症结的感化。在经济生涯中,中介目的的选择是由一国所处的经济成长阶段、银行系统与金融市场的发育状态、体系体例与轨制规矩的变迁和泉币政策终究目的甚至政策对象等综合决议的,韩语论文网站,也必定要跟着这些前提的转变而转变。我国今朝实施的是泉币供给量目的制,可是这一轨制在以后曾经浮现出了各种弊病。很多学者已就这个成绩作出了深入的研究,也提出懂得决计划。本文经由过程比拟中韩两外货币政策中介目的及效应韩语论文范文,剖析各自的好坏,找出韩外货币政策中值得中国粹习和自创的处所,对我国往后改造的取向做出前瞻性的研究。本文重要内容可分为四个部门。第一部门起首论述了泉币政策中介目的系统的根本实际,包含凯恩斯主义、泉币主义的根本思惟和其他对于中介目的的实际。然后引见了东方国度在详细理论中的做法,包含二十世纪五六十年月的利率目的制、七八十年月的泉币供给量目的制和九十年月今后的通货收缩目的制。第二部门对中韩泉币政策中介目的的构成和演化进程停止了略论。韩国方面,在剖析了韩国的经济和金融轨制的基本上,深刻研究了自20世纪50年月以来其泉币政策中介目的慢慢演化的轨迹。中国方面,在回想了上世纪八十年月以来中介目的的选择和演化进程的基本上,商量了其变迁的本源地点。第三部门侧重对中韩现行泉币政策中介目的的理论效应停止比拟研究。根据评价泉币政策中介目的有用性的目标系统和有关实际,本文起首从相干性、可控性和可测性三个方面临两国现行中介目的的有用性停止了定性剖析和定量评价。韩国今朝实施的是通货收缩目的制,就该目的制的界说、特色、实施的前提等对其详细操作情形停止了定性剖析,得出该目的制在韩国具有较强的有用性的结论。在评价中国现行的泉币供给量目的制的有用性成绩时,本文运用了协整磨练、统计剖析等办法停止研究,成果注解其有用性曾经显著降低。在此基本上,本文接上去对两国中介目的的有用性及本源停止了比拟剖析和总结。第四部门在上述研究的基本上提出对我外货币政策中介目的改造的假想,即实施通货收缩目的制。起首联合中国的现实情形,对中国实行通货收缩目的制的前提停止了探寻,然后提出实施该目的制须要处理的实际成绩和政策建议。

Abstract:

As a bridge between the object and the purpose of the purpose of the operation, the intermediary has an insignificant effect on the monetary policy. The effect of the monetary policy is directly decided by the choice of appropriate monetary policy. In the economic life and the choice of intermediate target is by a country's economic growth stage, the banking system and financial market development, systems and rail business rules changes and monetary policy eventually even policy object of the consolidated resolution, must follow the change of these conditions change. China's current implementation of the money supply is the purpose of the system, but this system has emerged in the future all kinds of ills. Many scholars have made a thorough research on this problem, also put forward to understand the plan. This paper through compare two outside of China and South Korea monetary policy intermediary goal and effect, the analysis of their respective good and bad, find worthy of Korean foreign monetary policy in China to learn and create their own premises, on China's future reform orientation to make prospective study. This paper can be divided into four sections. The first part of this paper is to discuss the basic theory of the system, including the basic ideas of Keynes, the theory of the currency and the reality of the intermediary. And then introduces the theory of Oriental countries in practice, including the fifty or sixty years of the interest rate target system, seventy or eighty years of spring money supply purposes and the future of the ninety years of inflation target system. The second sector of China and South Korea monetary policy to the formation and evolution of the intermediary between the end of the process. South Korea, in the analysis of the economic and financial system of South Korea's economy, a profound study of the 50 years since the beginning of twentieth Century, its currency policy purposes of the slow evolution of the monetary policy. On the Chinese side, in retrospect of the eighty years since the beginning of the last century, the purpose of the selection and evolution of the process, to discuss the origin of its transition. The third sector focused on the current monetary policy of China and South Korea's current monetary policy to stop the comparison of the theoretical effect of the comparative study. According to the objective system and the relevant practice of evaluating the effectiveness of monetary policy, this paper first analyzes the qualitative and quantitative evaluation from the three aspects of the current mediation between the two countries. Today in South Korea to implement the inflation objective system, in respect of the purpose of the definition, characteristics, the implementation of the premise for the situation with operation stopped qualitative analysis, comes to the conclusion that the objective system in South Korea has strong usefulness of conclusion. In the evaluation of China's current supply of money for the purpose of the purpose of the performance, the paper applies the cointegration test, statistical analysis and other methods to stop the discussion, the results of the usefulness of the notes have been significantly reduced. On this base, this paper is to take a comparative analysis and summary of the useful and the origin of the intermediary between the two countries. The fourth sector in the above discussion of the basic idea of the transformation of the intermediary of the currency policy, namely the implementation of the purpose of inflation. First of all, the reality of China's situation, the implementation of the system of inflation in China is the premise of the analysis, and then put forward the implementation of the system to deal with the actual results and policy recommendations.

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