中韩电子信息产业贸易自由化的动态CGE略论[韩语论文]

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中韩经贸关系敏捷成长的配景下,电子信息家当已成为双边商业核心之一。其不只是双边商业的“火车头”,也是两国经济成长的重要驱动力,是计谋性支柱家当。比拟之下,韩国电子信息家当具有较强的“先发”优势,而中国则跟着东亚经济逐步进入“后雁行形式”轨道,表示出很强的“后发”“追逐”态势。经由多年的“追逐”,中韩电子信息产物商业产生着奥妙的变更,双边竞争和互补的格式有待从新考据;在商业自在化的潮水下,电子信息家当将成为中韩互相开放的主要范畴之一,双边开放将为我国带来机会照样挑衅?基于以上配景,本文起首基于1992一2007年中韩商业及相干数据,从竞争性、互补性、技巧构造差别和家当内商业四个方面周全考核了中韩电子信息家当及重要产物的商业构造特点和成长趋向,从新审阅了中韩电子信息家当竞争和协作的格式;成果注解中国电子信息家当竞争力逐步加强,部门产物竞争力乃至已跨越韩国,但整体而言中韩电子信息家当仍具有很强的互补性,特别表现在我国对韩国半导体晶体管及电子元器件出口依附较年夜;中韩电子信息家当技巧差距逐步减少,家当内商业趋高,双边商业潜力伟大;然后,运用中国静态可盘算普通平衡模子一MCHUGE模子,并对其停止恰当扩大,增长了中韩自贸区模块,模仿剖析并比较了中韩电子信息家当货色商业自在化和投资自在化对我国微观经济和家当将来10年的作用;斟酌到电子信息的行业特点,本文进一步测验考试将范围经济、垄断和产物多样化等不完整竞争身分引入MCHUGE模子中,韩语论文,并重新的视角模仿剖析了中韩电子信息家当商业自在化对我国的作用。研究成果注解中韩电子信息家当商业自在化对我国作用利年夜于弊,全体表现了很强的“保增加”和“调构造”效应;双边商业自在化带来的投资和出口的增长,将增进我国GDP和社会福利年夜幅进步;电子信息家当其实不会遭遇“扑灭”性袭击,相反其产出和出口都邑扩大,且重要表现在对世界其他地域出口的增长;双边商业自在化将招致必定的“商业发明后果”,国产物和从韩国出口品将部门替换世界其他地域的产物;而双边开放的负面作用重要表现在出口冲击带来的逆差增年夜和商业前提的好转;经由过程比较分歧模仿场景的作用,韩语论文范文,发明投资自在化的拉动后果显著跨越货色商业自在化;同时斟酌不完整竞争身分时,双边开放的作用将被进一步缩小,我国将更年夜水平受害。

Abstract:

In the background of economic and trade relations between China and South Korea to develop quickly, electronic information has become one of the core of bilateral commercial property. It is not just bilateral commercial "locomotive", between the two countries is also an important driving force of economic growth, is a strategic pillar industry. In contrast, the electronic information possessions in South Korea has strong first mover advantage, and China followed the East Asian economy gradually into the echelon form orbit, showing a strong "after" "chase" situation. Through years of "chase", China and South Korea Electronic and information products business has a subtle changes, bilateral competition and complementarity format to be from new textual research; under the trade liberalization tide, electronic information possessions will become one of main categories of China and South Korea open to each other and bilateral open for our country to bring the opportunity still provocation? Based on the above background, this paper based on the 1992 2007 and South Korea business and relevant data, from the four aspects of competitive, complementary business skills, and comprehensive assessment of structural difference in the trend of commercial property structure and growth characteristics of China and South Korea have important and electronic information products, electronic information and review from the new house of competition and cooperation the results have China annotation format; competitiveness of electronic information products competitiveness and strengthen gradually, departments have crossed South Korea, China and South Korea but overall electronic information belongings are highly complementary, especially in China's exports to South Korea semiconductor and electronic components attached to large electronic information; and have skills gap gradually reduced, commercial property increasingly high, bilateral commercial potential is greatest; then, the application China can calculate the static general equilibrium model MCHUGE model And the stop appropriate to expand, increase of China ROK FTA module, simulation analysis and comparison the South Korea electronic information worldly goods trade liberalization and investment freedom of the influence of the our country microeconomic and possessions future 10 years. Considering the characteristics of electronic information industry, the further test the scope economy, monopoly and product diversification is not complete competition identity into mchuge model, and again from the perspective of imitation analysis of the China electronic information belongings free trade impact on China. Research and comment of electronic information property trade liberalization impact on China more advantages than disadvantages, all show strong "increase" and "structural adjustment" effect; bring bilateral trade liberalization of investment and export growth, will enhance China's GDP and social welfare greatly enhance the electronic information industry in fact; "fight" will not encounter attacks, contrary to its output and exports have expanded, and the important performance in the export to other regions of the world growth; bilateral trade liberalization will lead to a certain "commercial invention consequences", domestic and export goods from South Korea will replace the product department in other parts of the world; and an important performance in the impact of the export deficit increased and improved the negative impact of bilateral commercial premises open; through the comparison differences to mimic the effect of the scene, the invention of investment liberalization pull The consequences of a remarkable leap into the business of the goods, and at the same time, the impact of bilateral opening will be further reduced, and the greater level of our country will be further reduced.

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