本文要处理的重要成绩有中韩自在商业区树立以后的经济效应和成长远景若何,和树立的实际可行性怎样样。在构建中韩自在商业区研究的实际框架和模子剖析的基本上,本文对中韩自在商业区的经济效应和可行性停止了实证研究。全文共六章,韩语论文题目,分红五个部门。第一部门为文章第一章“导论”,重要解释了本文研究的配景、选题的目标意义;文献综述;论文的根本内容和框架;和文章的研究办法、立异及缺乏。第二部门为文章的第二章,引见了自在商业区的相干实际,重要有关税联盟实际及家当内商业实际,关税联盟实际又分静态效应和静态效应停止剖析,家当内商业实际则引见了它的成长、假定前提和根本不雅点。第三部门是文章的第三章,引入了丁伯根的商业引力模子来对树立自在商业区的可行性停止实证剖析,剖析的成果注解中韩两国树立FTA是可行的。第四部门为文章的第4、第五章,详细剖析了树立中韩FTA的经济效应及可行性,经济效应中既有积极效应又包含消极效应积极效应重要有可以进步两国的全体福利程度,可以发生明显的投资和商业效应,可以晋升家当构造和有益于东亚经济一体化;消极效应重要有经济程度纷歧致招致协作效力低下,中国的加工商业遭到作用和两国的敏感家当遭到冲击。可行性中既有有益前提又有制约身分,有益前提包含实际上的支撑,两国对此的立场积极,两国家当具有较强互补性,两国地缘、人文、对外计谋的请求和优越的政治交际关系;制约身分包含国际市场的作用,两国商业不屈衡加重,两国存在关税和非关税壁垒,两国的竞争加重。第五部门为文章的第六章,是对树立中韩FTA的政策建议,重要有削减逆差的办法,削减磨擦的办法,吸引投资的办法和增强两国经贸协作的办法。 Abstract: This paper will have economic effect and development prospects of China and South Korea to establish free trade area of the important achievements after processing, and how to establish the feasibility. In the actual analysis framework and model establishing Sino Korea Free Trade Area on the basically, economic effect and feasibility of this paper on Sino Korea Free Trade Area an empirical study. This paper consists of six chapters, five departments participating. The first part is the first chapter "Introduction", it is important to explain the research background, the selected topic goal significance; literature review; the basic content and framework, and the research methods, innovation and deficiency. The second part is the second chapter of the article, introduced the free trade area of the coherent practical and important about tax union actual and belongings in practical business, customs union actual and static effect and static effect analysis, belongings commercial practice is introduced its growth, given that the first and basic indecent point. The third part is the third chapter of the article, introduced Ding Bogen's business model to establish the feasibility of gravity free trade area of the empirical analysis, analysis of the results of China and South Korea set up the FTA annotation is feasible. The fourth part is the fourth and the fifth chapter, a detailed analysis of the establishing FTA between China and South Korea economic effect and feasibility, economic effects in both positive effects and contains negative effect positive effect important progress between the two countries all welfare level can be significant investment and business effect, can promote industrial structure and beneficial to the East Asian economic integration; negative effects of important economic degree of the divergent induced by lead to collaboration efficiency is low, China's processing trade was pounded effect and two sensitive belongings. Feasibility of both favorable conditions and restricting factors, beneficial conditions including actually support, position of the two countries in this regard the positive, two countries when there is a strong complementarity, at the request of the two countries in geography, culture and foreign strategy and superior political communication relationship; restricting factors include the impact of the international market, bilateral trade imbalance increased bilateral existence of tariff and non-tariff barriers. The more severe competition between the two countries. The fifth sector is the sixth chapter of the article, is to set up the China Korea FTA policy recommendations, important way to cut the deficit, reduce friction to attract investment and enhance bilateral economic and trade cooperation way. 目录: 摘要 5-6 Abstract 6 0 导论 10-15 0.1 探讨背景及选题依据 10-11 0.1.1 探讨背景 10-11 0.1.2 选题目的及意义 11 0.2 概念的界定 11-12 0.2.1 自由贸易区 11-12 0.2.2 关税同盟 12 0.3 文献综述 12-13 0.4 基本内容和论文框架 13-14 0.4.1 基本内容 13-14 0.4.2 论文框架 14 0.5 探讨措施、创新及不足 14-15 0.5.1 探讨措施 14 0.5.2 创新与不足 14-15 1 建立自由贸易区的理论依据 15-23 1.1 关税同盟理论 15-20 1.1.1 关税同盟理论的静态效果 15-17 1.1.2 关税同盟理论的动态效果 17-20 1.2 产业内贸易理论 20-23 1.2.1 产业内贸易理论的发展 20-21 1.2.2 产业内贸易理论的假设条件 21 1.2.3 产业内贸易理论的基本观点 21-23 2 建立中韩FTA 的贸易引力模型略论 23-27 2.1 贸易引力模型概述 23-24 2.1.1 贸易引力模型的基本形式 23 2.1.2 模型其他变量的引入与修正 23-24 2.2 样本选取及数据来源 24-25 2.2.1 样本的选取 24 2.2.2 数据来源 24-25 2.3 贸易引力模型的略论与求解 25 2.4 回归结果略论 25-27 3 建立中韩FTA 的经济效应 27-36 3.1 建立中韩FTA 的两国整体福利效应 27-28 3.2 建立中韩FTA 的投资和贸易效应 28-30 3.2.1 FTA 协定将使韩国投资者更有动力到中国投资 28-29 3.2.2 贸易创造效应将使两国形成一个巨大的潜在市场 29-30 3.3 建立中韩FTA 的产业内贸易效应 30-33 3.3.1 建立中韩FTA 对两国行业产业内贸易的作用 31-32 3.3.2 有利于提升中国的产业结构 32-33 3.4 建立中韩FTA 有助于推动东亚经济一体化进程 33-34 3.5 建立中韩FTA 的消极效应 34-36 3.5.1 经济发展差距导致合作进程不一致和效率降低 34 3.5.2 中国的加工贸易受到作用 34-35 3.5.3 两国的敏感产业会受到冲击 35-36 4 建立中韩FTA 的可行性略论 36-47 4.1 中韩两国的贸易和投资近况 36-39 4.1.1 中韩贸易近况 36-38 4.1.2 中韩投资近况 38-39 4.2 有利条件 39-44 4.2.1 理论上的支持 39 4.2.2 中韩对建立两国FTA 的态度相当积极 39-41 4.2.3 中韩两国在产业结构上具有较强的互补性 41-43 4.2.4 中韩两国地缘、人文和对外战略的要求 43-44 4.2.5 中、韩两国政治外交关系发展良好 44 4.3 制约中韩两国贸易发展的因素 44-47 4.3.1 国际市场上商品价格走低对中韩商品贸易产生负面作用 44-45 4.3.2 中韩商品贸易不平衡的趋势还在加大 45 4.3.3 两国之间存在许多关税和非关税壁垒 45-46 4.3.4 某些领域产品竞争激烈,韩语论文范文,产业分工朝“水平竞争”方向发展 46-47 5 建立中韩FTA 的对策建议 47-50 5.1 采取方法,缩减贸易逆差 47 5.1.1 应要求韩国政府对中国贸易政策进行调整 47 5.1.2 实施标准化战略,提高中国出口产品质量 47 5.1.3 加快进出口商品结构的调整 47 5.2 妥善解决中韩贸易摩擦问题 47-48 5.3 改善条件,吸引韩资 48 5.3.1 进一步提高对外开放水平 48 5.3.2 积极促进国内市场一体化 48 5.3.3 改善法制环境和金融环境 48 5.4 加强两国间的经贸合作 48-50 参考文献 50-52 致谢 52-53 个人简历 53 已发表的学术论文 53 |