| 中韩FTA第九轮会谈于2014年1月10日停止，这标记着中韩FTA农产物会谈曾经进入出要价的本质性阶段。中韩两国在农产物商业方面来往频仍，农产物商业范畴倍受经济学界的存眷，中韩FTA配景下的农产物商业更是多方存眷的核心。本文经由过程对中韩农产物商业现状的略论、相干商业目标的测算和中韩FTA农产物会谈过程的剖析，将中韩FTA对中国农产物商业的作用归结为四个主要研究议题，即韩美FTA对韩国市场上中国农产物竞争力的作用、农产物关税减让形式、技巧性商业壁垒和GTAP模仿剖析。重要研究内容包含：(1)对中韩两国农产物活着界农产物市场中的进出口范围、地域构造和产物构造停止剖析；(2)对中韩农产物双边商业范围和商业构造停止剖析；(3)对相干商业目标停止测算，重要包含中韩农产物双边商业联合度、比拟优势指数、商业互补性指数和商业强度指数；(4)对韩美FTA对中国农产物在韩国市场上的竞争力作用停止剖析；(5)中韩FTA中韩国农产物关税的减让形式；(6)中韩FTA对中国农产物商业作用的模仿剖析；(7)构建中韩FTA进程中韩国技巧性商业壁垒对中国农产物商业作用剖析。重要研究结论归纳综合以下：第一，在中韩FTA会谈进程中，韩国将赐与农产物高度存眷并采用极其谨严的战略，这势必深入作用中韩农产物商业；第二，中国农产物进出口范围显著年夜于韩国。中国事韩国农产物出口的重要起源地，同时中国在韩国农产物出口市场中也占领主要位置，但是韩国在中国农产物出口市场中不具有主要性；第三，中国在农产物商业方面临韩国的依附水平要更高一些。韩美FTA的失效招致中国农产物在韩国市场上全体竞争力降低，并减弱了中国在中韩FTA农产物会谈中的优势：第四，中韩FTA中韩国农产物减税形式猜测：年夜米等十余种食粮作物将作为破例处置，韩语毕业论文，韩语毕业论文，不归入自在化过程领域；水产物、谷物、蔬菜、蔬菜生果成品、油籽及饲料、食物工业的残渣及废物等、肉及水海产物成品将作为高度敏感产物；其他农产物则为敏理性较低或正常农产物；第五，中韩FTA对中国农产物产量及对中国对韩国农产物出口数目增加作用明显；对中国出口农产物数目作用不年夜；中韩FTA失效后，除林产物外，中国其他农产物出口离岸价钱有分歧水平增加。第六，韩国TBT设置明显作用中国对韩国农产物出口流量，并具有明显的克制感化，曾经给中国农产物对韩国出口形成本质性的作用。 Abstract: China and South Korea FTA ninth round of talks in January 10, 2014 to stop, which marks the FTA of China and South Korea agricultural products have entered the essential stage of the asking price. China and South Korea from the agricultural products business frequently, agricultural products business economics much attention, and FTA under the background of agricultural products trade is the core concern of the parties. This paper analyzes the business situation of agricultural products in China and South Korea, the calculation of the relevant business objectives and the analysis of the process of China and South Korea FTA agricultural products, the impact of China and South Korea FTA on the business of China's agricultural products are four main research issues, that is, the South Korean American FTA on the South Korean market, the impact of China's agricultural production, agricultural tariff reduction, technical barriers to trade and GTAP simulation analysis. The important research contents include: (1) to China Korea agricultural products import and export of live range, the regional structure and product structure analysis of agricultural products market in the world; (2) to produce the bilateral scope of business and business structure analysis; (3) of the coherent target to stop business estimates, the agricultural product contains important bilateral business degree, comparative advantage index, trade complementarity index and trade intensity index; (4) on the Korea us FTA Chinese on the competitiveness of agricultural products in the South Korean market analysis; (5) and FTA in Korea products tariff concessions; (6) and FTA on Chinese agricultural products business impact the simulation analysis; (7) analysis of Korean technical barriers to the process of constructing China Korea FTA Chinese agricultural products business impact. An important research conclusion summed up the following: first, China and South Korea in the FTA talks, South Korea will give high attention and use of agricultural products is extremely cautious strategy, which will further affect the agricultural product of China and Korea business; second, Chinese agricultural products import and export range obviously Nianye in South korea. The important thing China origin hanguonong exports, at the same time in China hanguonong product export market also occupies the important position in South Korea, but Chinese export market for agricultural products do not have major; third, Chinese in agricultural trade are facing South Korea's higher level of attachment. South Korea and the United States FTA China agricultural products in South Korea lead to failure on the market competitiveness of all decreased, and weaken the China FTA of agricultural products in China and South Korea talks advantage: Fourth, Korea FTA Korea product tax forms of speculation: rice more than ten kinds of food crops as an exception disposal, not included in the liberalization process of the field of aquatic products; Cereals, vegetables, fruits, vegetables, oilseeds and finished feed, food and industrial waste residue, meat and water products will be highly sensitive to the sea of finished products; other agricultural products for sensitive low or normal agricultural products; fifth, South Korea FTA Chinese obviously on the agricultural production and the influence on the increase of Han China the number of the number of agricultural products export; exports of agricultural products China effect is not big; and after FTA failure, in addition to forest products, there are differences in water China other agricultural products export FOB price Flat increase. Sixth, South Korea TBT Chinese hanguonong set effect on product export flow, and has obvious restraint effect, influence the formation of the nature of the export of agricultural products has given Chinese to South korea. 目录: |
